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Published 1 Jun 2026, 20:17 UTC · fetched 6 Nov 2026, 14:18 UTC
Benjamin Cowen
@benjamincowen
In reply to · 1 Jun 2026, 17:56 UTC · context given to the AI
I have replicated @benjamincowen’s AQQR, and have compared it with the EQM by creating symmetrical rainbow charts. Both models show similar R2 and centering in the last two cycles, and both have pros and cons. I think I am now the only analyst proposing a bottom under $60K based on a proper statistical model (not just TA), though that is of course dependent on timing. That is the final test for the EQM. @TheRealPlanC, it would be really cool to add your new model too!I don't remember saying BTC could not go below $60k In fact, in several interviews I have said that it could happen as we get closer to Q4. Q1% does not mean we cannot go below it, it just says we only spend 1% of our time below it. That is why I added the dislocation lines which you left offView original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
unscored Awaiting manual review
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
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