@benjamincowen · Unclaimed · Rank #16 (Top 18%) · All time · 24 hours horizon How it’s ranked
Founder & CEO, ITC | Macro, commodities & digital assets | Liquidity, labor & risk cycles | PhD Engineering | Former NASA, Sandia National Labs
Coverage 8 May 2026 – 10 Nov 2026
Calls
15
0 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
53.3%
8 correct / 7 incorrect · 0 neutral
ROI
+0.4%
Average return per call: what following every call with an equal stake returned
Max drawdown
−0.4%
Worst peak-to-trough of following every call, as a share of the stake
Streak
3
Right calls in a row, newest first; neutral results are skipped
Coverage
186d
8 May 2026 – 10 Nov 2026
Best call
+4.2%“Trying to predict short-term price action is hard, as I generally consider the short-term moves akin to a random walk, or geometric brownian motion. ..but.. if i had to guess, I would guess that BTC tags $70k soon, then gets a small bounce. But after the bounce is over (likely a few days to a week or so), I do think BTC will head back to the lows from February 2026. If I'm wrong about BTC revisiting the lows from February, I will quote tweet this and simply say "I was wrong." And then I will let every bull dunk away.”
Worst call
-2.4%“Could be. But let's be honest. Bitcoin when valued against SPX and Gold and is at same valuation it was at 5 years ago. It's hard to dunk on "paper hands" when BTC has not even outperformed index funds for so long. I think a higher rates environment, coupled with macro stresses has been unfavorable to Bitcoin when valued in other assets and not just USD, and until those macro headwinds dissipate, we likely continue to see more of the same.”
Every token @benjamincowen has called, most recent first. The badge is their latest call on it. 2 tokens, all time.
Last called 9 Nov 2026 · 15 calls since 28 May 2026
1 bullish · 14 bearish
Last called 21 May 2026
By month resolved · 24 hours horizon
8 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
| Posted (UTC) | Call | Asset | Direction | Price at post | Horizon | Price at horizon | Return | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Nov 2026, 03:36 | “@BouchotMaxime I think Bitcoin will stay weak probably into mid-December around next FOMC. Let's see where it is by then” |
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All time · 24h
| BTC |
| ▼ Bearish |
| $74,761 |
| 24h |
| $74,461 |
| -0.4% |
| correct |
| 5 Nov 2026, 15:26 | “If the NASDAQ can go back to the summer lows, then so can Bitcoin. https://t.co/XlW30AtgCl” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $75,922 | 24h | $75,754 | -0.2% | correct |
| 29 Oct 2026, 20:16 | “Yesterday Google dropped 10%+ after hours, today it is Intel. Remember in Q4 of midterm years, it is usually a correction in equities that drags Bitcoin back down https://t.co/LYU0yZlx4M” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $78,738 | 24h | $76,764 | -2.5% | correct |
| 4 Jun 2026, 12:46 | “@mcof92 btc could certainly rally again before the final low, but i doubt it would be to a new high” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $63,698 | 24h | $61,912 | -2.8% | correct |
| 2 Jun 2026, 12:39 | “Countertrend rallies are normal in bear markets. They always last long enough to truly convince the bulls that "this time is different." Bitcoin tends to be weak in midterm years, and no amount of mental gymnastics changes that.” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $68,904 | 24h | $66,985 | -2.8% | correct |
| 1 Jun 2026, 05:13 | “Trying to predict short-term price action is hard, as I generally consider the short-term moves akin to a random walk, or geometric brownian motion. ..but.. if i had to guess, I would guess that BTC tags $70k soon, then gets a small bounce. But after the bounce is over (likely a few days to a week or so), I do think BTC will head back to the lows from February 2026. If I'm wrong about BTC revisiting the lows from February, I will quote tweet this and simply say "I was wrong." And then I will let every bull dunk away.” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $73,256 | 24h | $70,159 | -4.2% | correct |
| 29 May 2026, 16:29 | “@JohnTown91 Because btc will likely continue bleeding against Spx, Qqq, gold, energy, and manufacturing” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $73,936 | 24h | $73,824 | -0.2% | correct |
| 21 May 2026, 03:02 | “Ethereum is likely heading to its lower logarithmic regression trend line, which roughly aligns with the April 2025 lows. https://t.co/a7oXEEOjx5” | ETH | ▼ Bearish | $2,144 | 24h | $2,136 | -0.4% | correct |