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@benjamincowen · Unclaimed · Rank #56 (Top 63%) · All time · 1 hour horizon How it’s ranked
Founder & CEO, ITC | Macro, commodities & digital assets | Liquidity, labor & risk cycles | PhD Engineering | Former NASA, Sandia National Labs
Coverage 8 May 2026 – 10 Nov 2026
Calls
15
0 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
60.0%
9 correct / 6 incorrect · 0 neutral
ROI
-0.0%
Average return per call: what following every call with an equal stake returned
Max drawdown
−0.1%
Worst peak-to-trough of following every call, as a share of the stake
Streak
1
Right calls in a row, newest first; neutral results are skipped
Coverage
186d
8 May 2026 – 10 Nov 2026
Best call
+1.1%“Yesterday Google dropped 10%+ after hours, today it is Intel. Remember in Q4 of midterm years, it is usually a correction in equities that drags Bitcoin back down https://t.co/LYU0yZlx4M”
Worst call
-0.8%“@JohnTown91 Because btc will likely continue bleeding against Spx, Qqq, gold, energy, and manufacturing”
Every token @benjamincowen has called, most recent first. The badge is their latest call on it. 2 tokens, all time.
Last called 9 Nov 2026 · 15 calls since 28 May 2026
1 bullish · 14 bearish
Last called 21 May 2026
By month resolved · 1 hour horizon
88 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
| Posted (UTC) | Call | Asset | Direction | Price at post | Horizon | Price at horizon | Return | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct 2026, 14:50 | “Looks like Bitcoin finally made it to the bull market support band. Note that TOTAL2, TOTAL3, MSTR, SPX, and NDQ all gave the signal that BTC would move this direction last week. https://t.co/HqWk7cLC7E https://t.co/xQRF8u5Isw” |
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All time · 1h
| BTC |
| ▼ Bearish |
| — |
| 1h |
| — |
| — |
| unscored |
| 30 Oct 2026, 14:46 | “I think BTC will eventually trade below the realized price, not yet sure if that happens this year or later. Previously I would have been more deterministic about this year, but with a higher high, not as clear. Doesn't this drop go against the views you expressed the last few weeks? How are you navigating that?” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | — | 1h | — | — | unscored |
| 30 Oct 2026, 14:44 | “Bitcoin ROI after a rate hike in September of a midterm year. Notice how both prior times, Bitcoin held for about 1.5 months before the final drop began https://t.co/bAahbMveB2” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | — | 1h | — | — | unscored |
| 29 Oct 2026, 20:16 | “Yesterday Google dropped 10%+ after hours, today it is Intel. Remember in Q4 of midterm years, it is usually a correction in equities that drags Bitcoin back down https://t.co/LYU0yZlx4M” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $80,292 | 1h | $79,444 | -1.1% | correct |
| 29 Oct 2026, 02:00 | “✅-Bitcoin weekly close below $83k (again) ✅-Fakeout confirmed (Oct 25) ✅-Fed does not raise rates (Oct 28) -PCE comes in hot (Oct 29) -Oil spikes over the Iran war (~$120) -Long end goes up (10Y back to 5.3%) -Stocks drop -Bitcoin drops in Q4 of midterm year (like always) -Long end drops before EOY” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | — | 1h | — | — | unscored |
| 26 Oct 2026, 01:52 | “I will follow this view until proven wrong (back above $83k) ✅-Bitcoin weekly close below $83k (again) ✅-Fakeout confirmed (Oct 25) -Fed does not raise rates (Oct 28) -PCE comes in hot (Oct 29) -Oil spikes over the Iran war (~$120) -Long end goes up (10Y back to 5.3%) -Stocks drop -Bitcoin drops in Q4 of midterm year (like always) -Long end drops before EOY” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | — | 1h | — | — | unscored |
| 26 Oct 2026, 01:49 | “With a second weekly close below the May high, Bitcoin is likely to drop to its bull market support band very soon. Note that TOTAL2, TOTAL3, SPX, NDQ, MSTR are already at their BMSB. https://t.co/y6bn0D5TYq” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $79,502 | 1h | $79,482 | -0.0% | correct |
| 25 Oct 2026, 16:51 | “Yes but back then the ADI of top 100 cryptos was moving higher, today is it moving lower. The internals are not similar. It is true that BTC did well in 2016/2017 with no QE, but rates were much lower than they are today. Look at 10 year TIPS back then compared to today as well. Not the same macro regime. Not saying you can’t have a bull market, but not like the one from 2020. Diminishing returns etc. Additionally apathetic tops can lead to shallower bear markets. Other times they can lead to more drawn out bear markets with numerous fakeouts along the way. I wonder if btc just drops in q4, then policy response, then bull market after” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | — | 1h | — | — | unscored |
| 24 Oct 2026, 01:26 | “@MatthewHyland_ would line up with this https://t.co/JPir5e9ZvI” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 1h | — | — | unscored |
| 24 Oct 2026, 01:03 | “A plausible path to consider (in order). Becomes void if Bitcoin gets and holds back above $83k -Bitcoin weekly close below $83k (again) -Fakeout confirmed (Oct 25) -Fed does not raise rates (Oct 28) -PCE comes in hot (Oct 29) -Oil spikes over the Iran war (~$120) -Long end goes up (10Y back to 5.3%) -Stocks drop -Bitcoin drops in Q4 of midterm year (like always) -Long end drops before EOY -Stocks and Bitcoin bottom” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | — | 1h | — | — | unscored |
| 22 Oct 2026, 17:05 | “Bitcoin getting a daily close below the 50D SMA likely sends it to the bull market support band. Note that ETH, MSTR, NDQ, TOTAL2, TOTAL3, etc. are already at the bull market support band. https://t.co/icuP6ZTqZt” | ETH | ▼ Bearish | — | 1h | — | — | unscored |
| 22 Oct 2026, 17:05 | “Bitcoin getting a daily close below the 50D SMA likely sends it to the bull market support band. Note that ETH, MSTR, NDQ, TOTAL2, TOTAL3, etc. are already at the bull market support band. https://t.co/icuP6ZTqZt” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $81,119 | 1h | $81,019 | -0.1% | correct |
| 22 Oct 2026, 14:10 | “the curse of the 21st? https://t.co/m5veOAQWDR” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | — | 1h | — | — | unscored |
| 21 Oct 2026, 23:44 | “What is it about the 21st? Bitcoin was able to go higher into September 3rd after August 21st, but only marginally. Other two months the 21st was the local top. Either way, if the pattern continues the next low would be around mid-November (big if of course) and the next local high is between October 21st (today) and November 3rd (midterms)” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 1h | — | — | unscored |
| 21 Oct 2026, 20:17 | “I absolutely could be wrong about this (like other things), but with tighter monetary policy likely coming, it probably makes sense to assume that Bitcoin dominance will continue higher https://t.co/Rgq3lqLyc0” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 1h | — | — | unscored |
