Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $81,094 at 22 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $81,541 at 23 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC.
3. r = 81541.16 / 81093.76 − 1 = +0.6%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -0.6% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology