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Prediction evidence

unscoredPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 30 Oct 2026, 14:44 UTC · fetched 6 Nov 2026, 14:18 UTC

Benjamin Cowen

@benjamincowen

Bitcoin ROI after a rate hike in September of a midterm year. Notice how both prior times, Bitcoin held for about 1.5 months before the final drop began https://t.co/bAahbMveB2

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

unscored Repeat call within an existing 24h episode

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Same 24h episode

Repeated same-asset, same-direction calls count once, anchored to the first eligible post

“@RealVolHunter i did not capitulate. I said I was wrong about the May high. Did you just ignored everything I said for the last month? I have said over and over that a q4 correction in equities was still likely and that it would bring btc back down”Repeat30 Oct 2026, 18:34 UTC

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▼ Bearish
Intent: inferred
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “Bitcoin ROI after a rate hike in September of a midterm year.”
Confidence: 87%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record