Loading profile…
@KillaXBT · Unclaimed · Rank #13 (Top 15%) · All time · Stated horizon How it’s ranked
Quantitative trader, 7 years.
Coverage 5 May 2026 – 11 Nov 2026
Calls
159
24 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
69.2%
110 correct / 49 incorrect · 0 neutral
ROI
+4.6%
Average return per call: what following every call with an equal stake returned
Max drawdown
−0.4%
Worst peak-to-trough of following every call, as a share of the stake
Streak
0
Right calls in a row, newest first; neutral results are skipped
Coverage
190d
5 May 2026 – 11 Nov 2026
Best call
+34.9%“I have a small spot $SOL allocation. I’m not particularly bullish on it long term, but I think there’s a good chance we see something like this play out once $BTC starts trending higher again. Personally, I’m targeting a 75–100% move here, nothing too crazy. Patience. https://t.co/OCxR2COmtg https://t.co/uCmZZPe7fq”
Worst call
-25.1%“No surprise so far… $BTC is down 2.8% since FOMC. In 6 of the last 7 cases, we saw average drops of 4-5%. If this reaction mimics the past, we could test the low 60-61K area. Overall, you wouldn't want to see us lose 60K otherwise we will end up sweeping the lows. https://t.co/4EfPJSpNrG https://t.co/ImJMWaTwh9”
Every token @KillaXBT has called, most recent first. The badge is their latest call on it. 3 tokens, all time.
Last called 9 Nov 2026 · 245 calls since 5 May 2026
161 bullish · 84 bearish
Last called 2 Nov 2026 · 7 calls since 7 Jun 2026
5 bullish · 2 bearish
Last called 17 Oct 2026
By month resolved · Stated horizon
705 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
| Posted (UTC) | Call | Asset | Direction | Price at post | Horizon | Price at horizon | Return | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 May 2026, 12:39 | “I can’t believe we only have a few months left of this bear market. Time has actually gone by ridiculously fast. At least soon, $BTC will move out of its “boring” phase.” |
Think your calls are better?
Get ranked on the same rules, or challenge @KillaXBT head to head.
All time · stated
| BTC |
| ▲ Bullish |
| — |
| 30d |
| — |
| — |
| unscored |
| 9 May 2026, 00:02 | “Key thoughts on $BTC’s current position: Eventually, cycles are going to shift, and we’re already starting to see that through volatility suppression. We’re not seeing the same parabolic expansions we had in previous cycles, and the euphoric blow off tops just aren’t as extreme anymore. Everything looks more muted and controlled compared to what we’ve seen historically. Because of that, it also makes sense that the downside changes too. Bottoms are likely going to be less violent going forward, fewer deep capitulation wicks and more structured, expected drawdowns rather than sudden crash style moves. If you look at MVRV pricing bands, each cycle has interacted with them in some way, but this cycle hasn’t really pushed into the higher extremes yet. Even in the current bearish phase, we haven’t fully stretched into those upper bands. That suggests we don’t necessarily need to reach the same overheated “purple/green” zones this time around, maybe just get closer to them, which is roughly what we’ve done. Overall, this doesn’t look like a period for being aggressively bearish. I already mentioned around 65K that it was a good area to start accumulating spot, and that view still holds. What we’re more likely in now is an extended accumulation range (the “blue zone”), where we chop around, see additional dips to accumulate, and build structure over time before any real expansion higher. Spending a similar amount of time accumulating at the lows as in previous cycles, just without the same depth on the downside. So in short, it’s probably not a time to get overly excited or overly bearish, more likely a longer ranging phase with opportunities to accumulate before the bull market begins.” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 30d | — | — | unscored |
| 8 May 2026, 20:54 | “$BTC has never printed 3 green monthly candles during a bear market. If history follows the same pattern, May would need to close red, meaning below 76K. https://t.co/27pe4yNx4f” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $80,131 | 30d | $61,839 | -22.8% | correct |
| 8 May 2026, 18:05 | “$BTC Expectations v.s Reality I think a time based capitulation is more likely than a continuation to new highs. https://t.co/bSMttV1FAd” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | — | 30d | — | — | unscored |
| 8 May 2026, 15:31 | “$BTC We’ve officially filled the 84K CME gap, something I honestly didn’t expect either, especially given how differently price behaved in 2022. What would be truly ironic is if 85K gets front-run and this ends up being the HTF reversal zone. At the same time, it wouldn’t be all that surprising. In downtrends, the first attempt to flip an exhaustion gap usually gets rejected on the first try, especially when price runs into overhead liquidity after an aggressive relief move. So having a retrace lower from here would actually make sense & 85K would be front ran for now.” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $80,126 | 30d | $62,071 | -22.5% | correct |
| 8 May 2026, 14:03 | “$BTC The 5th Pivot lives on. We should get a retest of the weekly open at 78.5K minimum. https://t.co/Cf7VJlhxqj https://t.co/lhiyoqwHcl” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | $80,134 | 30d | $61,871 | -22.8% | incorrect |
| 8 May 2026, 13:17 | “$BTC This is the trade I’m planning to take around August/September. Wherever the price may be. The big swing long to new ATHs. https://t.co/xoYtqQvipR” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 30d | — | — | unscored |
| 7 May 2026, 19:31 | “bitcoin:native I’m still standing by this as my primary thesis. TradFi has recovered incredibly well, but as shown in the example below, I still believe the next major low, wherever it forms, likely comes alongside one final drop in the S&P 500. This setup could take time to fully develop, potentially over the coming months, but from a HTF perspective, this remains the main scenario I’m focused on right now through this year. I’m still holding a half-sized short position in case we see something along these lines play out. If not, I’ll reassess around late Q3 to early Q4. Timing a top in legacy is extremely difficult, which is why I usually avoid making strong predictions around it. However, if history is any indication, we’ll likely see some form of panic or negative news catalyst that leads to a pullback in TradFi & BTC likely follows where it forms the next low before new highs.” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | — | 30d | — | — | unscored |
| 7 May 2026, 18:37 | “$BTC For those wondering, yes, I’m still in my swing short. BTC is currently testing a major area: the previous highs before the breakdown to 60K. If this level holds, there’s a possibility we continue pushing higher. I still believe we eventually retrace and test the 75–76K region where I placed my scalp long limits, but risk management has to come first. Because of that, I’ve decided to derisk 50% of my short position at a loss. Not because I’ve lost confidence, but because protecting capital is more important than being right. As I mentioned previously, most of my swing shorts didn’t experience this much deviation. Looking back, I mentioned that I entered too early, and the smarter move would have been waiting for acceptance. So at this point, 50% of the short is closed, while I’m holding the remaining 50% targeting either sub-70K or my SSL at 84K. My invalidation level was only briefly missed. This current retrace has given me the opportunity to reduce exposure for just a -0.3R loss while still keeping part of the position open. Given the circumstances, I’m comfortable with that. Could derisking 50% end up being a mistake? Maybe. I still expect price to retrace below my entry. But I always have to remain open to the possibility that I’m wrong as well.” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | — | 30d | — | — | unscored |
| 7 May 2026, 15:20 | “Following up on this... If $BTC follows the 2022 structure, it would suggest that the significant BOS we had does not get retested. Meaning BTC could see a retrace similar to the one I’ve drawn out. https://t.co/nAzELeVMRD https://t.co/HenM8A77jg” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $79,888 | 30d | $60,748 | -24.0% | correct |
| 7 May 2026, 12:36 | “I’d look to take some $BTC longs in the 76.3K–74.7K area if Bitcoin retests that range. For now, 78.5K (the weekly open) is the key local level to hold. If that level fails to hold, I’ll be ready to start scaling into longs lower down. https://t.co/9LuHyc6o13” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | $81,161 | 30d | $60,998 | -24.8% | incorrect |
| 6 May 2026, 16:52 | “$BTC If the current yearly candle pulls off something like this, it would be the craziest sh*t I’ve seen in 7 years. I think hitting 100K this year is quite unlikely, but only time will tell. 50% of people think otherwise, lets see. 🤟 https://t.co/gVFwXA5HlL https://t.co/j2adkkza1w” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | — | 30d | — | — | unscored |
| 6 May 2026, 12:43 | “My general plan for $BTC is to look for long entries and add to spot between August and October. Until then, it’s mostly a waiting game for me. As I’ve said before, regardless of the price, I will increase my spot holdings during this period. We’re about a 50% pump from ATH, and cycle returns do seem to be compressing. I’m targeting $160K–$180K next cycle, but even over a 3 year period, that’s just over a 100% increase from current prices, which isn’t great when compared to TradFi's performance recently. So, I will be waiting. Let the games begin 🎲” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 30d | — | — | unscored |
| 5 May 2026, 13:08 | “A bear market rally is basically people wanting it to be over before it actually is. After a long drop, everyone’s tired. People are down bad, underexposed, or sitting in cash. The moment price starts pushing up, it feels like relief. At the same time, shorts start getting uncomfortable. (Ironically me) They close positions, which means buying, and that pushes prices even higher. The move starts looking stronger than it really is. Then comes the narrative: People go from cautious “wait… is this the bottom?” “I’m gonna miss it.” That’s where FOMO kicks in. Late buyers pile in right when price is pushing into areas where bigger players are happy to sell. You’ll also notice the narrative changes after the move starts. Suddenly there are reasons for it, macro, STRC, ETFs, whatever, but really the move came first, the explanation came after. The key part is nothing fundamentally changed. Liquidity just got pulled upward, shorts got squeezed. So it becomes a loop: pain, relief, hope, FOMO, trap, then pain again. That’s why bear market rallies look so convincing, they’re built on emotions people want to believe, not on a real shift in the bigger trend. My short might be wrong/early, but it doesn't change where $BTC is positioned in the cycle based on historical data.” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $81,334 | 30d | $64,173 | -21.1% | correct |
| 5 May 2026, 12:00 | “If this pattern deviates as well, it wouldn’t just break a 7/7 reversal pattern, it would also invalidate a 12/12 inverse movement pattern that’s held consistently for over a year. I understand that no pattern lasts forever, and eventually they all break. But after gaining 150K followers in just 3 months, it’s hard not to feel somewhat targeted when the exact pivots I’ve used for may months are suddenly breaking down. It does seem like the algorithm is being adjusted, more abruptly than I expected. Still, just because patterns begin to fail doesn’t mean they were never valid. Right now, this looks like clear manipulation/ expansion phase to me. I still view this as a bear market rally, and that perspective won’t change unless we see a historical deviation significant enough to justify it. If my swing short gets stopped out, I’m not chasing anything, I’ll step back and wait until August to accumulate $BTC spot instead. Not much you can do. It is what it is.” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $81,285 | 30d | $63,698 | -21.6% | correct |
