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Published 31 Jul 2026, 17:22 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:57 UTC
Killa
@KillaXBT
Quoting · 27 Jul 2026, 18:43 UTC · context given to the AI
$BTC If we follow the 6/7 previous occurrences, it would suggest a minimum 4–5% drop after the 29th. However, pivots will eventually shit once the broader structure begins to shift, eventually these dates will start producing a different reaction. https://t.co/k3GAVRliyq https://t.co/tEfMANPUbxNo surprise so far… $BTC is down 2.8% since FOMC. In 6 of the last 7 cases, we saw average drops of 4-5%. If this reaction mimics the past, we could test the low 60-61K area. Overall, you wouldn't want to see us lose 60K otherwise we will end up sweeping the lows. https://t.co/4EfPJSpNrG https://t.co/ImJMWaTwh9View original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
r = 62652.58 / 63177.42 − 1 = -0.8%d × r = +0.8% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correctOnly the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
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