Loading…

Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 7 May 2026, 12:36 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:57 UTC

Killa

@KillaXBT

I’d look to take some $BTC longs in the 76.3K–74.7K area if Bitcoin retests that range. For now, 78.5K (the weekly open) is the key local level to hold. If that level fails to hold, I’ll be ready to start scaling into longs lower down. https://t.co/9LuHyc6o13

View original on X ↗

How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $81,161 at 7 May 2026, 13:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $80,020 at 8 May 2026, 13:00 UTC.
r = 80020.42 / 81160.85 − 1 = -1.4%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -1.4% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “I’d look to take some $BTC longs in the 76.3K–74.7K area if Bitcoin retests that range.”
Confidence: 92%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

Status

Prediction evidence

Source post

How this was scored

AI interpretation

Outcome record

Request a correction