Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $80,131 at 8 May 2026, 21:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 30 days horizon, $61,839 at 7 Jun 2026, 21:00 UTC.
3. r = 61838.9 / 80131.16 − 1 = -22.8%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +22.8% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology