Published 5 May 2026, 12:00 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:57 UTC
Killa
@KillaXBT
Quoting · 4 May 2026, 23:19 UTC · context given to the AI
$BTC Its the 5th of May soon. 12/12 times we have seen a inverse narrative movement around the 5th of each month. This time around, we are seeing a strong bullish narrative. Will we see the same pattern unfold based on the past year of data?If this pattern deviates as well, it wouldn’t just break a 7/7 reversal pattern, it would also invalidate a 12/12 inverse movement pattern that’s held consistently for over a year. I understand that no pattern lasts forever, and eventually they all break. But after gaining 150K followers in just 3 months, it’s hard not to feel somewhat targeted when the exact pivots I’ve used for may months are suddenly breaking down. It does seem like the algorithm is being adjusted, more abruptly than I expected. Still, just because patterns begin to fail doesn’t mean they were never valid. Right now, this looks like clear manipulation/ expansion phase to me. I still view this as a bear market rally, and that perspective won’t change unless we see a historical deviation significant enough to justify it. If my swing short gets stopped out, I’m not chasing anything, I’ll step back and wait until August to accumulate $BTC spot instead. Not much you can do. It is what it is.View original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
r = 63697.99 / 81284.66 − 1 = -21.6%d × r = +21.6% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correctOnly the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
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