@Alejandro_XBT · Unclaimed · Rank #77 (Top 87%) · All time · 1 hour horizon How it’s ranked
Crypto since 2017 | Helping Investors Navigate Markets | All Posts NFA + DYOR
Coverage 8 May 2026 – 10 Nov 2026
Calls
53
0 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
43.4%
23 correct / 30 incorrect · 0 neutral
ROI
-0.1%
Average return per call: what following every call with an equal stake returned
Max drawdown
−0.2%
Worst peak-to-trough of following every call, as a share of the stake
Streak
1
Right calls in a row, newest first; neutral results are skipped
Coverage
186d
8 May 2026 – 10 Nov 2026
Best call
+1.4%“This is one of the scenarios I have in mind: Bitcoin drops to 30K. Then rallies back toward 59K. That's where everyone starts talking about the bottom being in. That's where the bull market narratives come back. That's where people get trapped again. Then comes the final leg lower. Below 15K. As for timing? I honestly have no idea. And I don't care. The market will get there when it gets there. My job is to identify the levels and act when they arrive.”
Worst call
-2.8%“For those asking, my roadmap hasn't changed: BTC → 30K first, 12K–15K later. ETH → $900–$1,000 first, $300–$400 later. The first levels are for trading the dead cat bounce. The second levels are where I'm interested in building long-term positions. Patience is the edge.”
Every token @Alejandro_XBT has called, most recent first. The badge is their latest call on it. 2 tokens, all time.
Last called 10 Nov 2026 · 46 calls since 11 May 2026
0 bullish · 46 bearish
Last called 9 Oct 2026 · 12 calls since 20 May 2026
0 bullish · 12 bearish
By month resolved · 1 hour horizon
23 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
| Posted (UTC) | Call | Asset | Direction | Price at post | Horizon | Price at horizon | Return | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov 2026, 16:38 | “Thank you for once again believing the bull market was back and buying the top. Your sacrifice will never be forgotten. 🫡 https://t.co/GB5GvO7JIt” |
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All time · 1h
| BTC |
| ▼ Bearish |
| $72,862 |
| 1h |
| $72,743 |
| -0.2% |
| correct |
| 6 Nov 2026, 06:17 | “We should see Bitcoin at $60K within the next few weeks. The bearish trend is playing out exactly as anticipated. And I still believe the worst is yet to come.” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $75,466 | 1h | $75,357 | -0.1% | correct |
| 30 Oct 2026, 08:49 | “Hack or no hack, Bitcoin was going down anyway. Stop crying. The market doesn’t care about your feelings.” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $77,790 | 1h | $77,535 | -0.3% | correct |
| 11 Oct 2026, 09:39 | “$COIN and crypto, especially Bitcoin, are highly correlated. Interesting to see Coinbase forming such a bearish structure, with a potential downside target of $50 by 2027. If this plays out, it would add even more fuel to my thesis that crypto has much further to fall. The market might not be pricing in the downside risk yet.” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $82,975 | 1h | $82,895 | -0.1% | correct |
| 29 Sept 2026, 13:09 | “The dollar is in a very similar technical position to October 2021. It has built a base near the bottom of the channel and, in my view, is setting up for another impulsive move toward the upper side. Go back and study what happened to Bitcoin in the months after the dollar started that rally. That’s why I’m not interested in calling a Bitcoin bottom yet. Until $DXY gets much closer to the top of this channel, I think the pressure on risk assets remains.” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $84,429 | 1h | $83,872 | -0.7% | correct |
| 23 Sept 2026, 19:59 | “The path of maximum pain, in my view, is a weekly and monthly close back below $82K. That would mean re-entering the range. Deviation confirmed. Bull trap confirmed. From there, the obvious move would be toward the range lows, sweeping all the longs sitting below $60K. And once that liquidity is taken, I think the sell-off could accelerate very quickly toward $40K. That’s the real path of maximum pain. You may like it or not, but if you think “maximum pain” means price just keeps going up and everyone who has been underwater for more than a year suddenly gets rescued back into profit... I think you’re looking at it completely backwards. $BTC” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $84,521 | 1h | $84,235 | -0.3% | correct |
| 23 Sept 2026, 16:06 | “See you at $60K in a few weeks. Thanks for buying the top. Exit liquidity always needs volunteers. $BTC https://t.co/Q981SRDa9V” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $84,315 | 1h | $83,855 | -0.5% | correct |
| 21 Sept 2026, 12:44 | “Call me crazy, but I don’t believe this move. Back in 2018, Bitcoin had several 80% rallies too, and every single time people were calling the bottom… right before BTC eventually collapsed to $3K. My view hasn’t changed. I still don’t think the bear market is over, and if I’m right, this move should be close to running out of steam.” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $85,272 | 1h | $85,057 | -0.3% | correct |
| 19 Sept 2026, 08:49 | “If it looks like a bearish retest, it’s probably a bearish retest. $ETH https://t.co/BuiVAcPtWC” | ETH | ▼ Bearish | $2,647 | 1h | $2,641 | -0.2% | correct |
| 18 Sept 2026, 21:37 | “I didn’t see this level of euphoria when Bitcoin hit $82K back in May. Maybe it’s because now you all think the bear market is over and everything is about to pump hard again? Sorry, I don’t think that’s going to happen.” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $81,237 | 1h | $81,175 | -0.1% | correct |
| 15 Sept 2026, 15:25 | “$ETH is giving me one of the cleanest bearish setups on the chart. The $2.4K area has acted as major resistance multiple times, and price is once again rejecting from that zone. If this structure plays out the same way as before, I don’t see this as accumulation. I see redistribution. Lose the $1.7K area and things can accelerate very quickly. My bigger target remains around $1K. Still bearish until the structure proves otherwise.” | ETH | ▼ Bearish | $2,424 | 1h | $2,423 | -0.1% | correct |
| 15 Sept 2026, 10:48 | “Pretty obvious $BTC topped this dead-cat bounce around $81K. Good luck to the top buyers. Give it a few weeks and you’ll be panicking again.” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $77,087 | 1h | $76,805 | -0.4% | correct |
| 2 Sept 2026, 09:06 | “The move that made everyone euphoric and screaming “bull market is back” is basically done. There’s no fuel left. I expect a full retrace from here and new lows after that. $BTC” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $76,986 | 1h | $76,569 | -0.5% | correct |
| 27 Jul 2026, 23:05 | “I'll say it again for those who still haven't read it or haven't understood it. Bitcoin is not at the bottom. This is not the bottom. We're still a long way from it. You'll understand why in a few months.” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $63,609 | 1h | $63,605 | -0.0% | correct |
| 23 Jul 2026, 14:11 | “Here's my base case for the next 12–24 months: > Tech stocks fall around 60% from current levels. > Crypto gets crushed. I see Bitcoin somewhere between $16K–30K, Ethereum at $500–900, and altcoins... I'd rather not even talk about them. > Gold corrects, but remains one of the best places to hide. I don't expect it to fall much compared to other assets. > The U.S. dollar strengthens. King Dollar ($DXY) stays in control. > Oil keeps pushing higher until the Strait of Hormuz fully reopens.” | ETH | ▼ Bearish | $1,901 | 1h | $1,883 | -0.9% | correct |