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@sminston_with · Unclaimed · Rank #12 (Top 16%) · 90 days · 30 days horizon How it’s ranked
Bitcoin ⚡ Engineering PhD ⚡ Data & tools https://t.co/TaPKiZgBNX
Coverage 8 May 2026 – 10 Nov 2026
Calls
26
7 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
73.1%
19 correct / 7 incorrect · 0 neutral
ROI
+7.9%
Average return per call: what following every call with an equal stake returned
Max drawdown
−1.6%
Worst peak-to-trough of following every call, as a share of the stake
Streak
0
Right calls in a row, newest first; neutral results are skipped
Coverage
186d
8 May 2026 – 10 Nov 2026
Best call
+23.5%“The power law of Bitcoin IN GOLD has taken quite a hit when you keep it honest by stopping training data in Aug 2020. Here's why I don't believe the same will happen in dollars, and rather price will continue to grow at roughly t^6. Bitcoin and the dollar both have monetary policies. One is a halving schedule, the other is a committee targeting a couple percent a year and mostly hitting it. Gold has neither. The t⁶ is a network property, addresses are doing roughly t³ x Metcalfe. The dollar is like a valve someone's hand is always on. Gold is more like the weather.”
Worst call
-8.5%“BTC price level looking great here at $84,830 The longer we hover above the support rainbow, the stronger the bull run case becomes, brick by brick, solidly in accumulation. Currently a 13.6% on the power law quantile framework. https://t.co/B33OsrVohx”
Every token @sminston_with has called, most recent first. The badge is their latest call on it. 1 token, all time.
Last called 9 Nov 2026 · 49 calls since 11 May 2026
49 bullish · 0 bearish
By month resolved · 30 days horizon
115 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
| Posted (UTC) | Call | Asset | Direction | Price at post | Horizon | Price at horizon | Return | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug 2026, 14:03 | “🎃 Everybody wants to talk about Uptober, but nobody wants to talk about the month we are ACTUALLY sitting in. August, all 16 years of it: Median return -5.6% Green only 25% of the time It is Bitcoin's single WORST month on the calendar. - - - September is barely better at -3.3% and green 38% of the time, so the next six weeks are historically the ugliest stretch of the year. Then October turns up with a +15.6% median and green 69% of the time, which makes it the best month Bitcoin has. 📈 Two more weeks of August disgust, friends? Hang in there! 🦀🦀🦀” |
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90 days · 30d
| BTC |
| ▲ Bullish |
| — |
| 30d |
| — |
| — |
| unscored |
| 14 Aug 2026, 04:32 | “Website, platform, newsletter for members - all completed. Locked in, grateful, and fully moisturized. Now I can ratchet up my posting to X - by a LOT. 😎 - - - Let's clear Bitcoin for takeoff like a frikin' SR-71, people.” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 30d | — | — | unscored |
| 12 Aug 2026, 19:42 | “@ https://t.co/7OlwHYcRU8” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 30d | — | — | unscored |
| 12 Aug 2026, 19:25 | “Bitcoin MVRV Z-score = 0.4 Lotta upside here, folks. ⤴️ https://t.co/xYI1v2hzom” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | $63,344 | 30d | $77,266 | +22.0% | correct |
| 11 Aug 2026, 17:54 | “It's here - the updated power law governing the devaluation of US Median Home Square Feet in Bitcoin. Oil, stock market and gold up next. https://t.co/sg3KTAZQWQ https://t.co/MrSwMKTgdu” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | $63,537 | 30d | $77,286 | +21.6% | correct |
| 10 Aug 2026, 16:50 | “@BitcoinArchive This is what's up. $70k round the corner” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | $63,839 | 30d | $78,783 | +23.4% | correct |
| 9 Aug 2026, 04:49 | “LTH % Supply-in-Loss The diamond-est hands are diamond-handing. Good chance the Bitcoin bottom is behind us. 👀 https://t.co/EZauAp5N15” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | $64,735 | 30d | $78,650 | +21.5% | correct |
| 2 Aug 2026, 15:57 | “The power law of Bitcoin IN GOLD has taken quite a hit when you keep it honest by stopping training data in Aug 2020. Here's why I don't believe the same will happen in dollars, and rather price will continue to grow at roughly t^6. Bitcoin and the dollar both have monetary policies. One is a halving schedule, the other is a committee targeting a couple percent a year and mostly hitting it. Gold has neither. The t⁶ is a network property, addresses are doing roughly t³ x Metcalfe. The dollar is like a valve someone's hand is always on. Gold is more like the weather.” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | $63,041 | 30d | $77,881 | +23.5% | correct |
| 22 Jul 2026, 16:54 | “At $66,187, Bitcoin is now back above the 1st quantile, looking higher. As a reminder, historically, dips below the 1st quantile only last a day or two at most. But in more extreme cases, there have been stretches up to almost 20 days. We recently went as long as 13 days and cumulatively between June and July ~27 days. 🔴 Below 1% Quantile: 2026-06-05 to 2026-06-06 (2 days) 🔴 Below 1% Quantile: 2026-06-09 to 2026-06-10 (2 days) 🔴 Below 1% Quantile: 2026-06-23 to 2026-07-05 (13 days) 🔴 Below 1% Quantile: 2026-07-07 to 2026-07-13 (7 days) 🔴 Below 1% Quantile: 2026-07-16 to 2026-07-17 (2 days) 🔴 Below 1% Quantile: 2026-07-19 to 2026-07-19 (1 days) We are most likely out of the woods on the downside.” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | $66,205 | 30d | $77,451 | +17.0% | correct |
| 20 Jul 2026, 14:51 | “Speaking of crazy Bitcoin signals... Copper/gold ratio has definitely made a positive turn - having just crossed its 1000-day SMA - and it would suggest a bull may be coming sooner than everyone expects a la 4-year magic. Be prepared. https://t.co/f3FPkX9VGD” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | $64,355 | 30d | $65,891 | +2.4% | correct |
