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Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 9 Aug 2026, 04:49 UTC · fetched 6 Nov 2026, 14:18 UTC

Sminston With 👁

@sminston_with

LTH % Supply-in-Loss The diamond-est hands are diamond-handing. Good chance the Bitcoin bottom is behind us. 👀 https://t.co/EZauAp5N15

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $64,735 at 9 Aug 2026, 05:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $64,950 at 10 Aug 2026, 05:00 UTC.
r = 64949.66 / 64735.34 − 1 = +0.3%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +0.3% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time