Loading profile…
@sminston_with · Unclaimed · Rank #11 (Top 12%) · All time · 30 days horizon How it’s ranked
Bitcoin ⚡ Engineering PhD ⚡ Data & tools https://t.co/TaPKiZgBNX
Coverage 8 May 2026 – 10 Nov 2026
Calls
31
7 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
71.0%
22 correct / 9 incorrect · 0 neutral
ROI
+5.4%
Average return per call: what following every call with an equal stake returned
Max drawdown
−1.5%
Worst peak-to-trough of following every call, as a share of the stake
Streak
0
Right calls in a row, newest first; neutral results are skipped
Coverage
186d
8 May 2026 – 10 Nov 2026
Best call
+23.5%“The power law of Bitcoin IN GOLD has taken quite a hit when you keep it honest by stopping training data in Aug 2020. Here's why I don't believe the same will happen in dollars, and rather price will continue to grow at roughly t^6. Bitcoin and the dollar both have monetary policies. One is a halving schedule, the other is a committee targeting a couple percent a year and mostly hitting it. Gold has neither. The t⁶ is a network property, addresses are doing roughly t³ x Metcalfe. The dollar is like a valve someone's hand is always on. Gold is more like the weather.”
Worst call
-23.8%“Only positive Macro signs for BTC since early March, particularly with respect to gold BTC/Au has climbed back late '25 levels, ~16.5oz/BTC The potential Au->BTC rotation signal I flagged in March, rather than letting more air out of BTC, allowed a persistent rally thru today - - - This looks more like momentum building than a head fake before new lows Watch out bears.”
Every token @sminston_with has called, most recent first. The badge is their latest call on it. 1 token, all time.
Last called 9 Nov 2026 · 49 calls since 11 May 2026
49 bullish · 0 bearish
By month resolved · 30 days horizon
155 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
| Posted (UTC) | Call | Asset | Direction | Price at post | Horizon | Price at horizon | Return | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug 2026, 19:28 | “Bitcoin's 5th percentile power law support predicts $100,000 in July of next year 👀 Yes, that's support. Aka the lower end of what to expect. https://t.co/zL6kEp27j5” |
Think your calls are better?
Get ranked on the same rules, or challenge @sminston_with head to head.
All time · 30d
| BTC |
| ▲ Bullish |
| — |
| 30d |
| — |
| — |
| unscored |
| 28 Aug 2026, 16:42 | “BITCOIN:🪙GOLDEN❎CROSS🪙Incoming. 1. The exact roll-forward puts the golden cross on September 9, 12 days from now 2. In the near term (1-3 months), neither golden 🪙nor death ☠️crosses matter much for forward returns 3. At 6 months, the golden cross has real edge over the death and more strongly suggests upward trajectory 3b. Gold median of +40% forward ROI vs. Death median of -3% forward ROI 4. Median implied price AT the estimated golden cross date (Sept 9) is $80,282 5. 6-month (Mar 9) implied Bitcoin price target (IQR) IF we hit that upcoming golden cross: $94k - $149k 5b. Median implied price = $112,748 And: this isn't even when the bull run will be finished - not by a long shot, I believe. NFA” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | $77,785 | 30d | $84,410 | +8.5% | correct |
| 27 Aug 2026, 18:03 | “@randgroup 🔥” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 30d | — | — | unscored |
| 27 Aug 2026, 18:01 | “@BitcoinMagazine @Polymarket The momentum is shifting, especially now that miners are finding their footing once again https://t.co/9VyL9CosVr” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | $80,176 | 30d | $83,995 | +4.8% | correct |
| 27 Aug 2026, 16:19 | “Revenue per EH/s is basically the same for all mining operations. What YOU KEEP is decided by what YOU PAY FOR POWER. Here, you can find out EXACTLY why I'm partnered with Simple Mining on this, and why you should join me 👇 https://t.co/QIVQgAs4v0” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 30d | — | — | unscored |
| 26 Aug 2026, 14:18 | “My interpretation: Long-term Bullish for Bitcoin. Holders are getting stronger every cycle, as volatility diminishes with time, yet all while continuing to follow the power law price appreciate trend. Therefore each bottom forces less selling than the last, and this time nobody was forced to sell at a loss at all. Go figure. NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE. -Smitty” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 30d | — | — | unscored |
| 26 Aug 2026, 04:26 | “Turn your thinking around. Since October 2025, Bitcoin has been recharging, and last week it told us it's ready to begin discharging. ⚡️ Oldie but goodie - the Bitcoin Battery 🔋 ⚡️ Price = $79,075 ⚡️ Battery = 98.3% Charged https://t.co/6CGTUKUIyG” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 30d | — | — | unscored |
| 25 Aug 2026, 21:02 | “Strong reversal in % long-term holder supply in loss From a 45.4% peak to 34.4% today, from this past week's rally. NAIL IN THE COFFIN, BEARS? 🔨🐻🔨🐻🔨 - - - Evidence mounting that we are indeed past the Bitcoin cycle low. https://t.co/QBVHszR2dA” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | $78,551 | 30d | $84,320 | +7.3% | correct |
| 22 Aug 2026, 21:02 | “@BitcoinArchive Very likely the summer reversal we discussed just months back is playing out! 🍻” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | $76,847 | 30d | $86,557 | +12.6% | correct |
| 21 Aug 2026, 17:34 | “90-day rolling correlation for BTC-Gold has been ramping since April, about to break 0.5 Last time this happened, the subsequent correlation break corresponded with a BTC blow-off and cycle price peak. https://t.co/YMYsX33two” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | — | 30d | — | — | unscored |
| 21 Aug 2026, 01:31 | “Bitcoin about to blow through the 5th percentile power law support ($75,718) and will thereby be detectable on the Decay Channel Oscillator once again. https://t.co/f6paIB11QL” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | — | 30d | — | — | unscored |
| 20 Aug 2026, 17:52 | “@luisgarcia All I'm saying is that it would be par the course for PMI to rise first meaningfully, have a lag, then the Bitcoin spike occurs within the PMI "bubble."” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 30d | — | — | unscored |
| 20 Aug 2026, 17:48 | “Looks like BTC may be turning up for the recent ISM PMI uptick after all. 🙈🙉🙊 Whaddya know. https://t.co/SiHO0aX3qu” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | $72,715 | 30d | $81,437 | +12.0% | correct |
| 20 Aug 2026, 16:47 | “BTC sure looks to be yearnin' for some more bear liquidations 🐻☠️ https://t.co/f1hx5HsVxo” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 30d | — | — | unscored |
| 20 Aug 2026, 02:23 | “In a matter of just a few hours, today Bitcoin made a decisive leap out of the sub-1st power law percentile price range, which it first plunged to on June 5th this year. - - - 🌈 At $69,600, it landed and is now sitting at about the 4th percentile, structurally important. Last cycle, a very similar move marked it's definitive upward climb toward what would be the 2024-2025 bubble.” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 30d | — | — | unscored |
