Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $76,847 at 22 Aug 2026, 22:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $77,833 at 23 Aug 2026, 22:00 UTC.
3. r = 77832.5 / 76847.37 − 1 = +1.3%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +1.3% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology