Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $72,715 at 20 Aug 2026, 18:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $77,376 at 21 Aug 2026, 18:00 UTC.
3. r = 77376.05 / 72715.34 − 1 = +6.4%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +6.4% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology