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@sminston_with · Unclaimed · Rank #33 (Top 37%) · All time · 1 hour horizon How it’s ranked
Bitcoin ⚡ Engineering PhD ⚡ Data & tools https://t.co/TaPKiZgBNX
Coverage 8 May 2026 – 10 Nov 2026
Calls
38
0 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
47.4%
18 correct / 20 incorrect · 0 neutral
ROI
+0.0%
Average return per call: what following every call with an equal stake returned
Max drawdown
−0.1%
Worst peak-to-trough of following every call, as a share of the stake
Streak
1
Right calls in a row, newest first; neutral results are skipped
Coverage
186d
8 May 2026 – 10 Nov 2026
Best call
+1.9%“Speaking of crazy Bitcoin signals... Copper/gold ratio has definitely made a positive turn - having just crossed its 1000-day SMA - and it would suggest a bull may be coming sooner than everyone expects a la 4-year magic. Be prepared. https://t.co/f3FPkX9VGD”
Worst call
-1.8%“Did you know you can measure Bitcoin the way you'd measure a factory? 🏭 It costs $50.4K in machines and electricity to produce one coin. It sells for $83.3K. So you're paying a 39% markup over production cost. Here's what matters. Across sixteen years, every time that markup was under 35%, Bitcoin was higher twelve months later. Every single time, no exceptions. Above 65% markup? Higher only 37% of the time. Today's 39% is at the cheap end of that range, and 70% of the last five years were pricier than right now. Might make sense to pick some up. NFA”
Every token @sminston_with has called, most recent first. The badge is their latest call on it. 1 token, all time.
Last called 9 Nov 2026 · 49 calls since 11 May 2026
49 bullish · 0 bearish
By month resolved · 1 hour horizon
155 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
| Posted (UTC) | Call | Asset | Direction | Price at post | Horizon | Price at horizon | Return | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug 2026, 14:03 | “🎃 Everybody wants to talk about Uptober, but nobody wants to talk about the month we are ACTUALLY sitting in. August, all 16 years of it: Median return -5.6% Green only 25% of the time It is Bitcoin's single WORST month on the calendar. - - - September is barely better at -3.3% and green 38% of the time, so the next six weeks are historically the ugliest stretch of the year. Then October turns up with a +15.6% median and green 69% of the time, which makes it the best month Bitcoin has. 📈 Two more weeks of August disgust, friends? Hang in there! 🦀🦀🦀” |
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All time · 1h
| BTC |
| ▲ Bullish |
| — |
| 1h |
| — |
| — |
| unscored |
| 14 Aug 2026, 04:32 | “Website, platform, newsletter for members - all completed. Locked in, grateful, and fully moisturized. Now I can ratchet up my posting to X - by a LOT. 😎 - - - Let's clear Bitcoin for takeoff like a frikin' SR-71, people.” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 1h | — | — | unscored |
| 12 Aug 2026, 19:42 | “@ https://t.co/7OlwHYcRU8” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 1h | — | — | unscored |
| 12 Aug 2026, 19:25 | “Bitcoin MVRV Z-score = 0.4 Lotta upside here, folks. ⤴️ https://t.co/xYI1v2hzom” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | $63,316 | 1h | $63,436 | +0.2% | correct |
| 12 Aug 2026, 15:32 | “@BitcoinNewsCom As an upper bound, maybe plausible. But that price is pushing it for CoP, more likely its 50kish https://t.co/GZLDN3Qgri” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | — | 1h | — | — | unscored |
| 11 Aug 2026, 17:54 | “It's here - the updated power law governing the devaluation of US Median Home Square Feet in Bitcoin. Oil, stock market and gold up next. https://t.co/sg3KTAZQWQ https://t.co/MrSwMKTgdu” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | $63,537 | 1h | $63,300 | -0.4% | incorrect |
| 10 Aug 2026, 16:50 | “@BitcoinArchive This is what's up. $70k round the corner” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | $63,770 | 1h | $63,835 | +0.1% | correct |
| 9 Aug 2026, 17:45 | “Bitcoin is definitely going to $1 million” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 1h | — | — | unscored |
| 9 Aug 2026, 04:49 | “LTH % Supply-in-Loss The diamond-est hands are diamond-handing. Good chance the Bitcoin bottom is behind us. 👀 https://t.co/EZauAp5N15” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | $64,748 | 1h | $64,725 | -0.0% | incorrect |
| 7 Aug 2026, 03:10 | “The cost to mine a Bitcoin (the rough floor) will pass $200,000 USD in 2030. Zoom out. https://t.co/5huGLEBV3b https://t.co/JiwsXtYfxZ” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 1h | — | — | unscored |
| 5 Aug 2026, 22:12 | “@BitcoinArchive Let's front run MF October” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 1h | — | — | unscored |
| 5 Aug 2026, 18:18 | “@LCdu42F Perfect time to get in” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 1h | — | — | unscored |
| 3 Aug 2026, 15:13 | “And importantly - largely driven by PRODUCTION and EMPLOYMENT - not merely inflated from prices like we saw earlier in the year. https://t.co/EfhkLbcpna” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 1h | — | — | unscored |
| 3 Aug 2026, 15:10 | “🚨 ISM PMI just broke ABOVE 55 Those who've been following: historically/statistically, this has been a critical lower threshold to break through before we'd likely start to see meaningful upward movement for Bitcoin. More content and updates to come this week - lots to discuss!” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 1h | — | — | unscored |
| 2 Aug 2026, 15:57 | “The power law of Bitcoin IN GOLD has taken quite a hit when you keep it honest by stopping training data in Aug 2020. Here's why I don't believe the same will happen in dollars, and rather price will continue to grow at roughly t^6. Bitcoin and the dollar both have monetary policies. One is a halving schedule, the other is a committee targeting a couple percent a year and mostly hitting it. Gold has neither. The t⁶ is a network property, addresses are doing roughly t³ x Metcalfe. The dollar is like a valve someone's hand is always on. Gold is more like the weather.” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | $63,041 | 1h | $63,105 | +0.1% | correct |
