Prediction evidence

unscoredPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 12 Aug 2026, 15:32 UTC · fetched 6 Nov 2026, 14:18 UTC

Sminston With 👁

@sminston_with

In reply to · 12 Aug 2026, 15:27 UTC · context given to the AI

The estimated Bitcoin average production cost reaches $78,254, 23% above spot price. https://t.co/SRLi150HNk

@BitcoinNewsCom As an upper bound, maybe plausible. But that price is pushing it for CoP, more likely its 50kish https://t.co/GZLDN3Qgri

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

unscored Awaiting manual review

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▼ Bearish
Intent: inferred
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “@BitcoinNewsCom As an upper bound, maybe plausible. But that price is pushing it for CoP, more likely its 50kish https://t.co/GZLDN3Qgri”
Confidence: 47%
Review state: needs review · Low confidence (47%)
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3