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@benjamincowen · Unclaimed · Rank #16 (Top 18%) · All time · 24 hours horizon How it’s ranked
Founder & CEO, ITC | Macro, commodities & digital assets | Liquidity, labor & risk cycles | PhD Engineering | Former NASA, Sandia National Labs
Coverage 8 May 2026 – 10 Nov 2026
Calls
15
0 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
53.3%
8 correct / 7 incorrect · 0 neutral
ROI
+0.4%
Average return per call: what following every call with an equal stake returned
Max drawdown
−0.4%
Worst peak-to-trough of following every call, as a share of the stake
Streak
3
Right calls in a row, newest first; neutral results are skipped
Coverage
186d
8 May 2026 – 10 Nov 2026
Best call
+4.2%“Trying to predict short-term price action is hard, as I generally consider the short-term moves akin to a random walk, or geometric brownian motion. ..but.. if i had to guess, I would guess that BTC tags $70k soon, then gets a small bounce. But after the bounce is over (likely a few days to a week or so), I do think BTC will head back to the lows from February 2026. If I'm wrong about BTC revisiting the lows from February, I will quote tweet this and simply say "I was wrong." And then I will let every bull dunk away.”
Worst call
-2.4%“Could be. But let's be honest. Bitcoin when valued against SPX and Gold and is at same valuation it was at 5 years ago. It's hard to dunk on "paper hands" when BTC has not even outperformed index funds for so long. I think a higher rates environment, coupled with macro stresses has been unfavorable to Bitcoin when valued in other assets and not just USD, and until those macro headwinds dissipate, we likely continue to see more of the same.”
Every token @benjamincowen has called, most recent first. The badge is their latest call on it. 2 tokens, all time.
Last called 9 Nov 2026 · 15 calls since 28 May 2026
1 bullish · 14 bearish
Last called 21 May 2026
By month resolved · 24 hours horizon
88 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
| Posted (UTC) | Call | Asset | Direction | Price at post | Horizon | Price at horizon | Return | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May 2026, 13:03 | “@Path21Mil my guess is that btc bottoms around October, but obviously that is just a guess” |
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All time · 24h
| BTC |
| ▼ Bearish |
| — |
| 24h |
| — |
| — |
| unscored |
| 29 May 2026, 12:32 | “A stock market correction in H2 2026 will likely coincide with the market cycle bottom for Bitcoin” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 24h | — | — | unscored |
| 29 May 2026, 05:00 | “Don't give up on Bitcoin in midterm years. They just create opportunities for those patient enough to wait them out.” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 24h | — | — | unscored |
| 28 May 2026, 04:23 | “Bitcoin has fallen back below the bear market resistance band. Bear market likely to continue, just like it has in prior midterm years. https://t.co/RTQa1krTxA” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $73,036 | 24h | $73,387 | +0.5% | incorrect |
| 25 May 2026, 22:40 | “@MatthewHyland_ I could see a low in June/July and higher low in October. Not out of the question, depending on where the low in June/July is” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 24h | — | — | unscored |
| 25 May 2026, 20:36 | “My views could be wrong, and if they are, I'll definitely lick my wounds for a while. But there is still plenty of evidence to suggest that the four year cycle remains in tact, and that once again people thought "this time was different" when it was not.” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | — | 24h | — | — | unscored |
| 25 May 2026, 20:36 | “Bitcoin also historically gets rejected around its 200D SMA in bear markets, which is exactly what just happened. https://t.co/dZdLV6FRDr” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | — | 24h | — | — | unscored |
| 25 May 2026, 20:36 | “The four year cycle for Bitcoin is not dead. Bitcoin topped when it always topped (to within 1 week when measure from low-to-high), so why can't it bottom near the end of the midterm year, just as it generally has? (1/x) https://t.co/Spoh4s6NRG” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 24h | — | — | unscored |
| 21 May 2026, 22:47 | “yeah and I pivoted literally 3 weeks later when BTC dropped below the 50W SMA and I said we were heading back down. I also said I sold some ETH at $4900 in case "that was it" for this cycle. receipts are all there. no one gets everything right. I thought ETH would sweep $5k but it did not, and then I admitted I was wrong a few weeks later, and said the bear market was here. If you ignored that, then that is on you” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | — | 24h | — | — | unscored |
| 21 May 2026, 03:02 | “Ethereum is likely heading to its lower logarithmic regression trend line, which roughly aligns with the April 2025 lows. https://t.co/a7oXEEOjx5” | ETH | ▼ Bearish | $2,144 | 24h | $2,136 | -0.4% | correct |
| 19 May 2026, 02:28 | “Bitcoin Rejected off its 200D. In this video we talk about a couple of paths over the next few months. I still think BTC goes lower into Q4, but the path to get there is hard to nail down. https://t.co/dowBj9t5LX” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | — | 24h | — | — | unscored |
| 19 May 2026, 02:17 | “Bitcoin rejected off its 200D https://t.co/oDgMFi0Hs8” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | — | 24h | — | — | unscored |
| 14 May 2026, 20:00 | “Bitcoin: Dubious Speculation In this video we talk about Bitcoin nearing the 200D SMA. In 2018/2022, the 200D SMA was the local high. In 2014/2019, BTC went slightly above. In 2014/2018/2022, the lower high occurred around the 0.382 Fib retracement, which is around $85k. But in 2018 and 2022 that corresponded to the 200D SMA. Tough market to get right, but my guess is that a lower high is eventually formed and then BTC forms a major low in October 2026.” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | — | 24h | — | — | unscored |
