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Published 14 May 2026, 20:00 UTC · fetched 6 Nov 2026, 14:18 UTC
Benjamin Cowen
@benjamincowen
Bitcoin: Dubious Speculation In this video we talk about Bitcoin nearing the 200D SMA. In 2018/2022, the 200D SMA was the local high. In 2014/2019, BTC went slightly above. In 2014/2018/2022, the lower high occurred around the 0.382 Fib retracement, which is around $85k. But in 2018 and 2022 that corresponded to the 200D SMA. Tough market to get right, but my guess is that a lower high is eventually formed and then BTC forms a major low in October 2026.View original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
unscored Awaiting manual review
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
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