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@ThePenguinXBT · Unclaimed · Rank #77 (Top 89%) · All time · 30 days horizon How it’s ranked
👤 The 21-year-old trader behind The Penguin. 🌊 Elliott Wave without hindsight. 🎟️ If I’m wrong, you’ll see that too. 💎 https://t.co/SfTcag3Wrk - 10x
Coverage 8 May 2026 – 10 Nov 2026
Calls
31
6 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
41.9%
13 correct / 18 incorrect · 0 neutral
ROI
-5.1%
Average return per call: what following every call with an equal stake returned
Max drawdown
−7.3%
Worst peak-to-trough of following every call, as a share of the stake
Streak
5
Right calls in a row, newest first; neutral results are skipped
Coverage
186d
8 May 2026 – 10 Nov 2026
Best call
+20.6%“$BTC bullish count looking much more likely here 🧪 With an internal wave 1 now appearing complete, this is becoming my preferred count. https://t.co/vQlzl26oGi https://t.co/KKfD1w81vO”
Worst call
-31.4%“$ETH Trade Update 🧪 Liking the PA here, so I’m adding back into the short and moving my stop above the local highs. Added: 60 ETH Total position: 80 ETH TP: $1,819 SL: $1,941 https://t.co/SvuKXUIzdW https://t.co/Yrm28XDIPI”
Every token @ThePenguinXBT has called, most recent first. The badge is their latest call on it. 3 tokens, all time.
Last called 4 Nov 2026 · 7 calls since 29 May 2026
4 bullish · 3 bearish
Last called 2 Nov 2026 · 34 calls since 11 May 2026
23 bullish · 11 bearish
Last called 25 Aug 2026 · 2 calls since 22 Aug 2026
2 bullish · 0 bearish
By month resolved · 30 days horizon
18 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
| Posted (UTC) | Call | Asset | Direction | Price at post | Horizon | Price at horizon | Return | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug 2026, 14:54 | “Trade 7 - bitcoin:native Short 🔴 Stop loss: $78,791 Take profit: $76,993 Quantity: 10 BTC RR 5.8 https://t.co/bQrshKv4tR” |
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All time · 30d
| BTC |
| ▼ Bearish |
| $78,560 |
| 30d |
| $83,754 |
| +6.6% |
| incorrect |
| 31 Aug 2026, 13:34 | “$ETH short Trade 6 🔴 We got Stopped out on the previous trade. Stop loss: $2,474 Take profit: $2,387 Quantity: 130 ETH R:R: 3.5 https://t.co/zpPWg31acW” | ETH | ▼ Bearish | $2,440 | 30d | $2,709 | +11.0% | incorrect |
| 24 Aug 2026, 08:26 | “@StoicTraderXBT Short” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $77,026 | 30d | $85,902 | +11.5% | incorrect |
| 20 Aug 2026, 18:10 | “BTC Short Trade 7 🧪 Entry: $72,554 Stop Loss: $72,941 TP1: $71,072 TP2: $67,792 Position Size: 9 BTC Risk/Reward: 1:14 Bit more risky however confident https://t.co/MS8qJ21KS8” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $72,411 | 30d | $81,412 | +12.4% | incorrect |
| 17 Aug 2026, 15:34 | “$BTC SHORT - Trade 4 🧪 Stop: $64,418 Target: $62,216 Size: 6.9 BTC R:R: 4.3 https://t.co/qfOs95QGnS” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $64,141 | 30d | $75,731 | +18.1% | incorrect |
| 12 Aug 2026, 17:22 | “$BTC Bearish alternative here on the medium timeframes that ties into my $ETH count and trade. The higher targets remain the same; - however, this scenario involves coming down to $60K first. Drop a like to see it ❤️ https://t.co/i0Nh4bY6QJ” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $63,399 | 30d | $77,505 | +22.3% | incorrect |
| 12 Aug 2026, 12:08 | “$ETH Trade Update 🧪 Liking the PA here, so I’m adding back into the short and moving my stop above the local highs. Added: 60 ETH Total position: 80 ETH TP: $1,819 SL: $1,941 https://t.co/SvuKXUIzdW https://t.co/Yrm28XDIPI” | ETH | ▼ Bearish | $1,910 | 30d | $2,510 | +31.4% | incorrect |
| 10 Aug 2026, 10:24 | “First trade of the $50K - $100K Challenge 🧪 $ETH SHORT Entry: $1,917 Stop: $1,979.50 Target: $1,799.85 Size: 40 ETH R:R: 1.8 https://t.co/qccgbsOn6Z https://t.co/fu3KwlVg9x” | ETH | ▼ Bearish | $1,916 | 30d | $2,487 | +29.8% | incorrect |
| 3 Aug 2026, 08:17 | “$BTC Macro Outlook 🧪 My highest-probability count still points lower. - The October 2025 top looks like an ending diagonal. The decline since fits a complex WXY correction better than a clean five-wave impulse. That keeps $42K on the table currently. There is a valid alternate that takes BTC back above $100K first- but it isn’t my base case. The interesting part? Many alts are already sitting near macro lows. Two valid paths. My overall bias remains lower for Btc and up for alts.” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $62,458 | 30d | $76,804 | +23.0% | incorrect |
| 17 Jul 2026, 10:22 | “$BTC Went down further than expected here - I did get stopped out at entry on my long but still thinking higher here and looking for another long soon around here. Invalidation is at the impulse low if this count is correct. https://t.co/EyseG5h5zp https://t.co/JwZBQS5Oow” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | $63,120 | 30d | $62,940 | -0.3% | incorrect |
| 15 Jul 2026, 06:38 | “bitcoin:native 🧪 Still working locally here and following on from the previous update. - We did actually end up front running both the short AOIs and long AOIs which is interesting to see here with a short flat and a tiny wick high. Nonetheless have been scalping lower timeframe PA which is a bit too fast to post on here. I Do think we have upside coming for the next couple of weeks at least and bias is heading to the upside. - Whether we are working correctively or impulsive up both outcomes should at minimum take us to 70K. Looking to scalp long any LTF dips given to 73K where the first AOI lies for my shorts. 🤝” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | $64,768 | 30d | $62,904 | -2.9% | incorrect |
| 26 Jun 2026, 21:44 | “Market looks okey Think Btc potential 55k max Altcoins good nontheless” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $59,826 | 30d | $64,795 | +8.3% | incorrect |
| 29 May 2026, 08:57 | “bitcoin:native 🧪 Few valid counts here to be honest. - Bearish is nice and simple as an ABC up. Bullish here is kind of at the make or break point for me, very close to that wave 1 top - This is the only way you obviously make it bullish unless you start using nested structures etc which I haven't gone for here. At a very good area for a bounce here with a potential correction completed Elliott Wave wise as well as clearing up some NPOC and singles below which is nice to see. Kind of a waiting game for me at this point but I still favour upside.” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | $73,548 | 30d | $60,276 | -18.0% | incorrect |
| 29 May 2026, 08:20 | “ethereum:native 🧪 Very interesting and honestly got quite caught off guard by this. For bullish count we can make it as a confirmed impulse expanding variety now. - This is the only way you make it bullish realistically otherwise it'll have to be bearish the whole thing. - What caught me off guard was that potential truncated C for that wave 2. Alas the expanding did play out with unusual externals then followed as a flat for a W2 or a complex of some kind still in progress. Regardless still like upside.” | ETH | ▲ Bullish | $2,003 | 30d | $1,579 | -21.2% | incorrect |
| 22 May 2026, 15:33 | “$BTC 🧪 ABC Looking complete here - Should head up https://t.co/Av5J1HG73K” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | $76,696 | 30d | $64,144 | -16.4% | incorrect |
