Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $72,411 at 20 Aug 2026, 19:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $77,111 at 21 Aug 2026, 19:00 UTC.
3. r = 77110.52 / 72410.92 − 1 = +6.5%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -6.5% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology