Loading…

Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 31 Aug 2026, 14:54 UTC · fetched 6 Nov 2026, 14:17 UTC

Kayne (formerly Penguin)

@ThePenguinXBT

Trade 7 - bitcoin:native Short 🔴 Stop loss: $78,791 Take profit: $76,993 Quantity: 10 BTC RR 5.8 https://t.co/bQrshKv4tR

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $78,560 at 31 Aug 2026, 15:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $78,143 at 1 Sept 2026, 15:00 UTC.
r = 78143.34 / 78560.1 − 1 = -0.5%
Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +0.5% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time