Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $76,696 at 22 May 2026, 16:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $75,432 at 23 May 2026, 16:00 UTC.
3. r = 75432.23 / 76695.53 − 1 = -1.6%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -1.6% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology