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@Alejandro_XBT · Unclaimed · Rank #55 (Top 63%) · All time · Stated horizon How it’s ranked
Crypto since 2017 | Helping Investors Navigate Markets | All Posts NFA + DYOR
Coverage 8 May 2026 – 10 Nov 2026
Calls
47
5 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
48.9%
23 correct / 24 incorrect · 0 neutral
ROI
-0.1%
Average return per call: what following every call with an equal stake returned
Max drawdown
−4.4%
Worst peak-to-trough of following every call, as a share of the stake
Streak
10
Right calls in a row, newest first; neutral results are skipped
Coverage
186d
8 May 2026 – 10 Nov 2026
Best call
+24.9%“bitcoin:native is distributing at range highs after the relief rally. This looks like a classic deviation setup above resistance before a violent move back into the range. Failure to hold this area could trigger a full rotation toward the range low near 60k https://t.co/D9Ms5a2cTp”
Worst call
-27.4%“Here's my base case for the next 12–24 months: > Tech stocks fall around 60% from current levels. > Crypto gets crushed. I see Bitcoin somewhere between $16K–30K, Ethereum at $500–900, and altcoins... I'd rather not even talk about them. > Gold corrects, but remains one of the best places to hide. I don't expect it to fall much compared to other assets. > The U.S. dollar strengthens. King Dollar ($DXY) stays in control. > Oil keeps pushing higher until the Strait of Hormuz fully reopens.”
Every token @Alejandro_XBT has called, most recent first. The badge is their latest call on it. 2 tokens, all time.
Last called 9 Nov 2026 · 45 calls since 11 May 2026
0 bullish · 45 bearish
Last called 9 Oct 2026 · 12 calls since 20 May 2026
0 bullish · 12 bearish
By month resolved · Stated horizon
24 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
| Posted (UTC) | Call | Asset | Direction | Price at post | Horizon | Price at horizon | Return | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sept 2026, 19:05 | “This dead cat bounce has trapped so many people that watching them delete their posts in a few weeks is going to be hilarious. $btc” |
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All time · stated
| BTC |
| ▼ Bearish |
| $76,525 |
| 7d |
| $84,388 |
| +10.3% |
| incorrect |
| 15 Sept 2026, 15:25 | “$ETH is giving me one of the cleanest bearish setups on the chart. The $2.4K area has acted as major resistance multiple times, and price is once again rejecting from that zone. If this structure plays out the same way as before, I don’t see this as accumulation. I see redistribution. Lose the $1.7K area and things can accelerate very quickly. My bigger target remains around $1K. Still bearish until the structure proves otherwise.” | ETH | ▼ Bearish | $2,423 | 30d | $2,438 | +0.6% | incorrect |
| 15 Sept 2026, 10:48 | “Pretty obvious $BTC topped this dead-cat bounce around $81K. Good luck to the top buyers. Give it a few weeks and you’ll be panicking again.” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $77,015 | 30d | $80,935 | +5.1% | incorrect |
| 13 Sept 2026, 19:35 | “Some of you are going to learn to respect me by losing money. Last summer I told you Bitcoin had already topped for the cycle, and for the next two or three months you laughed at me. I also warned you about the massacre coming in altcoins, and you called me crazy. Now I’m telling you the same thing again: Bitcoin has not formed its bottom yet. There’s still more blood ahead. You want to play? Let’s play. $BTC” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $77,254 | 30d | $83,206 | +7.7% | incorrect |
| 3 Sept 2026, 18:56 | “Grok doesn’t lie. A lot of people here think I’m just LARPing, but I called for altcoins to drop 90% while they were near their highs, and I called the Bitcoin cycle top back in August. I’m not interested in trading every bounce. I still don’t think the bear market is over. Maybe I’m wrong on the exact number or the exact level, but on the bigger picture, my view hasn’t changed: The bear market is not finished.” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $81,268 | 30d | $84,934 | +4.5% | incorrect |
| 2 Sept 2026, 09:06 | “The move that made everyone euphoric and screaming “bull market is back” is basically done. There’s no fuel left. I expect a full retrace from here and new lows after that. $BTC” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $76,713 | 30d | $86,352 | +12.6% | incorrect |
| 28 Aug 2026, 14:10 | “This range looks almost identical to the one we saw from March 2024 to late October. Back then, it was re-accumulation before a much bigger move. Now we’re seeing a very similar structure, but this time it comes after a clear downtrend. That makes redistribution the more likely scenario. Don’t let anyone fool you into buying the “this is the bottom” narrative. $BTC” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $79,573 | 30d | $84,520 | +6.2% | incorrect |
| 27 Aug 2026, 08:27 | “This is how I see the $BTC cycle. The 2022 bottom was accumulation, followed by an uptrend with multiple re-accumulation phases. What changed at the top is the structure: distribution first, then lower highs and re-distribution. That’s the key difference. As long as this structure holds, I see rallies as opportunities to sell, not the start of a new bull market. My main target remains the $30K area.” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $79,755 | 30d | $84,195 | +5.6% | incorrect |
| 25 Aug 2026, 13:22 | “Let me explain it in the simplest way possible. Bitcoin is still just trading inside a range, chopping people up in both directions. And because this range formed after a clear downtrend, the most likely scenario is redistribution before another leg lower. If this were a real cycle bottom, I’d expect a completely different structure and probably a much longer accumulation period. We’re back near the range highs now, so this move is either finished or very close to it. See you lower. $BTC” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $78,633 | 30d | $84,236 | +7.1% | incorrect |
| 22 Aug 2026, 23:36 | “A few months ago I said that at some point we’d get a substantial bounce strong enough to make everyone scream “the bull market is back.” Well, I’m sorry to tell you: it’s not. I expect the next leg down to be fast and painful. $BTC https://t.co/B7HBCFyKsV” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $77,054 | 30d | $86,595 | +12.4% | incorrect |
| 15 Aug 2026, 20:41 | “With a simple trendline and a clear resistance zone, you can see that Bitcoin has shifted into a macro downtrend. This didn't happen in previous cycles. You can also clearly see the price deviation in the purple box. Could Bitcoin have already bottomed? Sure. But I think it's highly unlikely, and I don't see the risk/reward in buying here. In my view, there's still a lot more downside ahead. We'll keep following the trend until the trend changes.” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $63,037 | 30d | $79,090 | +25.5% | incorrect |
| 27 Jul 2026, 23:05 | “I'll say it again for those who still haven't read it or haven't understood it. Bitcoin is not at the bottom. This is not the bottom. We're still a long way from it. You'll understand why in a few months.” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $63,693 | 30d | $79,026 | +24.1% | incorrect |
| 23 Jul 2026, 14:11 | “Here's my base case for the next 12–24 months: > Tech stocks fall around 60% from current levels. > Crypto gets crushed. I see Bitcoin somewhere between $16K–30K, Ethereum at $500–900, and altcoins... I'd rather not even talk about them. > Gold corrects, but remains one of the best places to hide. I don't expect it to fall much compared to other assets. > The U.S. dollar strengthens. King Dollar ($DXY) stays in control. > Oil keeps pushing higher until the Strait of Hormuz fully reopens.” | ETH | ▼ Bearish | $1,895 | 30d | $2,414 | +27.4% | incorrect |
| 21 Jul 2026, 17:41 | “We may chop around inside this red box for a while. Short-term timing is almost impossible. But I don't think this bear market ends without Bitcoin at least testing $30K https://t.co/FZn2brMZny” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $66,170 | 30d | $72,715 | +9.9% | incorrect |
| 20 Jun 2026, 17:53 | “ethereum:native 99% → We hit $1,000 60% → We hit $600 35% → We hit $350 The only question is how slowly the market wants to deliver the pain. https://t.co/uAfCnlvP5I” | ETH | ▼ Bearish | $1,725 | 30d | $1,906 | +10.5% | incorrect |
