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Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 17 Sept 2026, 19:05 UTC · fetched 6 Nov 2026, 14:17 UTC

Alejandro₿TC

@Alejandro_XBT

This dead cat bounce has trapped so many people that watching them delete their posts in a few weeks is going to be hilarious. $btc

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $76,525 at 17 Sept 2026, 20:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 7 days horizon, $84,388 at 24 Sept 2026, 20:00 UTC.
r = 84388 / 76524.55 − 1 = +10.3%
Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -10.3% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time