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@Alejandro_XBT · Unclaimed · Rank #61 (Top 84%) · 90 days · Stated horizon How it’s ranked
Crypto since 2017 | Helping Investors Navigate Markets | All Posts NFA + DYOR
Coverage 8 May 2026 – 10 Nov 2026
Calls
26
5 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
46.2%
12 correct / 14 incorrect · 0 neutral
ROI
-4.2%
Average return per call: what following every call with an equal stake returned
Max drawdown
−6.1%
Worst peak-to-trough of following every call, as a share of the stake
Streak
10
Right calls in a row, newest first; neutral results are skipped
Coverage
186d
8 May 2026 – 10 Nov 2026
Best call
+10.3%“$COIN and crypto, especially Bitcoin, are highly correlated. Interesting to see Coinbase forming such a bearish structure, with a potential downside target of $50 by 2027. If this plays out, it would add even more fuel to my thesis that crypto has much further to fall. The market might not be pricing in the downside risk yet.”
Worst call
-27.4%“Here's my base case for the next 12–24 months: > Tech stocks fall around 60% from current levels. > Crypto gets crushed. I see Bitcoin somewhere between $16K–30K, Ethereum at $500–900, and altcoins... I'd rather not even talk about them. > Gold corrects, but remains one of the best places to hide. I don't expect it to fall much compared to other assets. > The U.S. dollar strengthens. King Dollar ($DXY) stays in control. > Oil keeps pushing higher until the Strait of Hormuz fully reopens.”
Every token @Alejandro_XBT has called, most recent first. The badge is their latest call on it. 2 tokens, all time.
Last called 9 Nov 2026 · 45 calls since 11 May 2026
0 bullish · 45 bearish
Last called 9 Oct 2026 · 12 calls since 20 May 2026
0 bullish · 12 bearish
By month resolved · Stated horizon
14 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
| Posted (UTC) | Call | Asset | Direction | Price at post | Horizon | Price at horizon | Return | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sept 2026, 19:05 | “This dead cat bounce has trapped so many people that watching them delete their posts in a few weeks is going to be hilarious. $btc” |
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90 days · stated
| BTC |
| ▼ Bearish |
| $76,525 |
| 7d |
| $84,388 |
| +10.3% |
| incorrect |
| 15 Sept 2026, 15:25 | “$ETH is giving me one of the cleanest bearish setups on the chart. The $2.4K area has acted as major resistance multiple times, and price is once again rejecting from that zone. If this structure plays out the same way as before, I don’t see this as accumulation. I see redistribution. Lose the $1.7K area and things can accelerate very quickly. My bigger target remains around $1K. Still bearish until the structure proves otherwise.” | ETH | ▼ Bearish | $2,423 | 30d | $2,438 | +0.6% | incorrect |
| 15 Sept 2026, 10:48 | “Pretty obvious $BTC topped this dead-cat bounce around $81K. Good luck to the top buyers. Give it a few weeks and you’ll be panicking again.” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $77,015 | 30d | $80,935 | +5.1% | incorrect |
| 13 Sept 2026, 19:35 | “Some of you are going to learn to respect me by losing money. Last summer I told you Bitcoin had already topped for the cycle, and for the next two or three months you laughed at me. I also warned you about the massacre coming in altcoins, and you called me crazy. Now I’m telling you the same thing again: Bitcoin has not formed its bottom yet. There’s still more blood ahead. You want to play? Let’s play. $BTC” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $77,254 | 30d | $83,206 | +7.7% | incorrect |
| 3 Sept 2026, 18:56 | “Grok doesn’t lie. A lot of people here think I’m just LARPing, but I called for altcoins to drop 90% while they were near their highs, and I called the Bitcoin cycle top back in August. I’m not interested in trading every bounce. I still don’t think the bear market is over. Maybe I’m wrong on the exact number or the exact level, but on the bigger picture, my view hasn’t changed: The bear market is not finished.” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $81,268 | 30d | $84,934 | +4.5% | incorrect |
| 2 Sept 2026, 09:06 | “The move that made everyone euphoric and screaming “bull market is back” is basically done. There’s no fuel left. I expect a full retrace from here and new lows after that. $BTC” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $76,713 | 30d | $86,352 | +12.6% | incorrect |
| 28 Aug 2026, 14:10 | “This range looks almost identical to the one we saw from March 2024 to late October. Back then, it was re-accumulation before a much bigger move. Now we’re seeing a very similar structure, but this time it comes after a clear downtrend. That makes redistribution the more likely scenario. Don’t let anyone fool you into buying the “this is the bottom” narrative. $BTC” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $79,573 | 30d | $84,520 | +6.2% | incorrect |
| 27 Aug 2026, 08:27 | “This is how I see the $BTC cycle. The 2022 bottom was accumulation, followed by an uptrend with multiple re-accumulation phases. What changed at the top is the structure: distribution first, then lower highs and re-distribution. That’s the key difference. As long as this structure holds, I see rallies as opportunities to sell, not the start of a new bull market. My main target remains the $30K area.” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $79,755 | 30d | $84,195 | +5.6% | incorrect |
| 25 Aug 2026, 13:22 | “Let me explain it in the simplest way possible. Bitcoin is still just trading inside a range, chopping people up in both directions. And because this range formed after a clear downtrend, the most likely scenario is redistribution before another leg lower. If this were a real cycle bottom, I’d expect a completely different structure and probably a much longer accumulation period. We’re back near the range highs now, so this move is either finished or very close to it. See you lower. $BTC” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $78,633 | 30d | $84,236 | +7.1% | incorrect |
| 22 Aug 2026, 23:36 | “A few months ago I said that at some point we’d get a substantial bounce strong enough to make everyone scream “the bull market is back.” Well, I’m sorry to tell you: it’s not. I expect the next leg down to be fast and painful. $BTC https://t.co/B7HBCFyKsV” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $77,054 | 30d | $86,595 | +12.4% | incorrect |
| 15 Aug 2026, 20:41 | “With a simple trendline and a clear resistance zone, you can see that Bitcoin has shifted into a macro downtrend. This didn't happen in previous cycles. You can also clearly see the price deviation in the purple box. Could Bitcoin have already bottomed? Sure. But I think it's highly unlikely, and I don't see the risk/reward in buying here. In my view, there's still a lot more downside ahead. We'll keep following the trend until the trend changes.” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $63,037 | 30d | $79,090 | +25.5% | incorrect |
| 27 Jul 2026, 23:05 | “I'll say it again for those who still haven't read it or haven't understood it. Bitcoin is not at the bottom. This is not the bottom. We're still a long way from it. You'll understand why in a few months.” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $63,693 | 30d | $79,026 | +24.1% | incorrect |
| 23 Jul 2026, 14:11 | “Here's my base case for the next 12–24 months: > Tech stocks fall around 60% from current levels. > Crypto gets crushed. I see Bitcoin somewhere between $16K–30K, Ethereum at $500–900, and altcoins... I'd rather not even talk about them. > Gold corrects, but remains one of the best places to hide. I don't expect it to fall much compared to other assets. > The U.S. dollar strengthens. King Dollar ($DXY) stays in control. > Oil keeps pushing higher until the Strait of Hormuz fully reopens.” | ETH | ▼ Bearish | $1,895 | 30d | $2,414 | +27.4% | incorrect |
| 21 Jul 2026, 17:41 | “We may chop around inside this red box for a while. Short-term timing is almost impossible. But I don't think this bear market ends without Bitcoin at least testing $30K https://t.co/FZn2brMZny” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $66,170 | 30d | $72,715 | +9.9% | incorrect |
