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@sminston_with · Unclaimed · Rank #18 (Top 20%) · All time · 7 days horizon How it’s ranked
Bitcoin ⚡ Engineering PhD ⚡ Data & tools https://t.co/TaPKiZgBNX
Coverage 8 May 2026 – 10 Nov 2026
Calls
36
2 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
50.0%
18 correct / 18 incorrect · 0 neutral
ROI
+1.3%
Average return per call: what following every call with an equal stake returned
Max drawdown
−0.7%
Worst peak-to-trough of following every call, as a share of the stake
Streak
0
Right calls in a row, newest first; neutral results are skipped
Coverage
186d
8 May 2026 – 10 Nov 2026
Best call
+22.3%“Since 2013, only EIGHT days have seen Bitcoin cheaper than today relative to its 5th percentile power law line. That is 0.16% of every daily close in that span, and all eight of them came this year. Seven were ONE consecutive week, June 25 to July 1. The eighth was Friday. - - - Today Bitcoin sits at 0.835x of that line. From 2013 through 2025 it never once got below 0.848x - not at the 2022 bottom, not anywhere. Bottom or not... When something sits in the cheapest fifth of one percent of its price history, it's a time you will remember - for better or worse - when we are climbing the next bull.”
Worst call
-11.2%“The business cycle returning will melt faces off Bitcoin bears https://t.co/hOsAlxp9MD”
Every token @sminston_with has called, most recent first. The badge is their latest call on it. 1 token, all time.
Last called 9 Nov 2026 · 49 calls since 11 May 2026
49 bullish · 0 bearish
By month resolved · 7 days horizon
155 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
| Posted (UTC) | Call | Asset | Direction | Price at post | Horizon | Price at horizon | Return | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul 2026, 17:04 | “Bitcoin: Confidence in power law price growth UP since 2 years ago, and risk/volatility is DOWN. Don't overcomplicate this. https://t.co/5Tuolzu2DW” |
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All time · 7d
| BTC |
| ▲ Bullish |
| — |
| 7d |
| — |
| — |
| unscored |
| 24 Jul 2026, 19:12 | “@christbeau12 Thanks again Christian! Hope some of the gym pump translates into a Bitcoin pump” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 7d | — | — | unscored |
| 22 Jul 2026, 18:25 | “Copper/gold has had about a 45% rebound since February. Strong correlation. Better Bitcoin. https://t.co/7GvXbbeuyu” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 7d | — | — | unscored |
| 22 Jul 2026, 16:54 | “At $66,187, Bitcoin is now back above the 1st quantile, looking higher. As a reminder, historically, dips below the 1st quantile only last a day or two at most. But in more extreme cases, there have been stretches up to almost 20 days. We recently went as long as 13 days and cumulatively between June and July ~27 days. 🔴 Below 1% Quantile: 2026-06-05 to 2026-06-06 (2 days) 🔴 Below 1% Quantile: 2026-06-09 to 2026-06-10 (2 days) 🔴 Below 1% Quantile: 2026-06-23 to 2026-07-05 (13 days) 🔴 Below 1% Quantile: 2026-07-07 to 2026-07-13 (7 days) 🔴 Below 1% Quantile: 2026-07-16 to 2026-07-17 (2 days) 🔴 Below 1% Quantile: 2026-07-19 to 2026-07-19 (1 days) We are most likely out of the woods on the downside.” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | $66,205 | 7d | $63,717 | -3.8% | incorrect |
| 21 Jul 2026, 14:59 | “Going to be interesting times ahead. With Bitcoin and Copper/Gold Z-scores usually in pretty good lockstep, the latter has made a hard up-turn for the past quarter indicating clear reversal. Somewhat similar behavior played out in 2020 going into 2021. Then... the upheaval. https://t.co/ckKnQGWHHb” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 7d | — | — | unscored |
| 20 Jul 2026, 14:51 | “Speaking of crazy Bitcoin signals... Copper/gold ratio has definitely made a positive turn - having just crossed its 1000-day SMA - and it would suggest a bull may be coming sooner than everyone expects a la 4-year magic. Be prepared. https://t.co/f3FPkX9VGD” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | $64,355 | 7d | $64,612 | +0.4% | correct |
| 13 Jul 2026, 18:35 | “For a lot of people, even Bitcoin at $1M won't be enough to convince them where this is going. Nothing new under the sun https://t.co/Q5PL56vtuR” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 7d | — | — | unscored |
| 9 Jul 2026, 20:53 | “@JamesEastonUK Retardmaxxing right along with you 🙌🏻” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 7d | — | — | unscored |
| 8 Jul 2026, 16:28 | “🧵4/7 The year is 2043, and 1 Bitcoin gets you the equivalent of ~$1M in 1983 dollars. Now we're talking. That 1983 million buys the house on the hill with a pool out back, a Benz and a Porsche in the circular drive, the gate at the end of the street, kids in elite schools, a few vacations a year. This is the first scenario where you stop being "comfortable" and start being rich. You've left the cul-de-sac behind. And you're only in the '80s. Keep going...” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 7d | — | — | unscored |
| 8 Jul 2026, 16:28 | “🧵3/7 The year is 2039, just a few years later — and now it's a '2003 million.' A real upgrade: a proper two-story, a real yard, a car that turns a few heads when you pick up the wife. The porch, the square footage, the gardening service, the address people recognize... it looks like 'the good life.' You're not 'rich-rich' yet, but you're the family the block is a little jealous of...” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 7d | — | — | unscored |
| 8 Jul 2026, 16:28 | “🧵2/7 The year is 2036, and 1 Bitcoin gets you the equivalent of ~$1M in 2023 dollars. Here's what that 2023 million buys: a tidy home, a car that gets you there, and a lawn that's all yours. You're comfortable, you're set... you're just not buying the block. From here things get wilder, fast...” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | $62,046 | 7d | $65,063 | +4.9% | correct |
| 8 Jul 2026, 16:28 | “Want to be a time-travelling millionaire? Being a 'millionaire' in past decades would have materially represented something much different, as we know from the dollar debasement over time. Bitcoin's price grows by a power law AND we have the historical purchasing power / inflation data back over a century; therefore, we can calculate the future years in which 1 Bitcoin will represent holding $1M dollars in past decades' dollars. What could you have owned as a millionaire from the 1980s, 1960s... even the early 1900s? And in what year will you become that old-timey millionaire? 👇🧵” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 7d | — | — | unscored |
| 3 Jul 2026, 16:55 | “Check out my comprehensive breakdown in the latest video: https://t.co/b5CDBwDtJD” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 7d | — | — | unscored |
| 3 Jul 2026, 16:53 | “I Bet you Barely Beheld these Bitcoin Bear Bars - - - Now, % LTH Supply-in-loss is at ~45%, which is the second-highest value measured at the ENDS of all previous bear markets 👀 We are also beyond the median value (even excluding the 2011 bear!). Bottom is likely here or near. https://t.co/8itOWhxUYX” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | $62,045 | 7d | $64,086 | +3.3% | correct |
| 30 Jun 2026, 22:27 | “@AdamBLiv Probably not but we most likely don't have much lower to go 🤠 Thinking less than $5k drop from here or I'd be pretty shocked” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 7d | — | — | unscored |
