Published 16 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC · fetched 6 Nov 2026, 14:18 UTC
Sminston With 👁
@sminston_with
Since 2013, only EIGHT days have seen Bitcoin cheaper than today relative to its 5th percentile power law line. That is 0.16% of every daily close in that span, and all eight of them came this year. Seven were ONE consecutive week, June 25 to July 1. The eighth was Friday. - - - Today Bitcoin sits at 0.835x of that line. From 2013 through 2025 it never once got below 0.848x - not at the 2022 bottom, not anywhere. Bottom or not... When something sits in the cheapest fifth of one percent of its price history, it's a time you will remember - for better or worse - when we are climbing the next bull.View original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
r = 64141.47 / 63072.49 − 1 = +1.7%d × r = +1.7% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correctOnly the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
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