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@sminston_with · Unclaimed · Rank #31 (Top 35%) · All time · 4 hours horizon How it’s ranked
Bitcoin ⚡ Engineering PhD ⚡ Data & tools https://t.co/TaPKiZgBNX
Coverage 8 May 2026 – 10 Nov 2026
Calls
38
0 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
63.2%
24 correct / 14 incorrect · 0 neutral
ROI
+0.1%
Average return per call: what following every call with an equal stake returned
Max drawdown
−0.0%
Worst peak-to-trough of following every call, as a share of the stake
Streak
1
Right calls in a row, newest first; neutral results are skipped
Coverage
186d
8 May 2026 – 10 Nov 2026
Best call
+1.4%“Speaking of crazy Bitcoin signals... Copper/gold ratio has definitely made a positive turn - having just crossed its 1000-day SMA - and it would suggest a bull may be coming sooner than everyone expects a la 4-year magic. Be prepared. https://t.co/f3FPkX9VGD”
Worst call
-1.5%“Did you know you can measure Bitcoin the way you'd measure a factory? 🏭 It costs $50.4K in machines and electricity to produce one coin. It sells for $83.3K. So you're paying a 39% markup over production cost. Here's what matters. Across sixteen years, every time that markup was under 35%, Bitcoin was higher twelve months later. Every single time, no exceptions. Above 65% markup? Higher only 37% of the time. Today's 39% is at the cheap end of that range, and 70% of the last five years were pricier than right now. Might make sense to pick some up. NFA”
Every token @sminston_with has called, most recent first. The badge is their latest call on it. 1 token, all time.
Last called 9 Nov 2026 · 49 calls since 11 May 2026
49 bullish · 0 bearish
By month resolved · 4 hours horizon
24 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
| Posted (UTC) | Call | Asset | Direction | Price at post | Horizon | Price at horizon | Return | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Nov 2026, 20:46 | “I agree with @saifedean. NGU or NGD. Only one can get this thing adopted at scale. Both its hard-to-control properties AND its tendency to vastly outrun inflation are necessary for more people to hold it, sustainably so. Neither is sufficient on its own. And you're still pretty early.” |
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All time · 4h
| BTC |
| ▲ Bullish |
| $74,724 |
| 4h |
| $74,924 |
| +0.3% |
| correct |
| 31 Oct 2026, 15:38 | “The last time Bitcoin closed at HALF today's price was 11/30/23 - 1,065 days ago 🤯 At each past bear market low, the look-back was: 2011: 216 days 2015: 540 days 2018: 587 days 2022: 925 days - - - June's low ($58,525) sat 985 days from half, further back than at ANY prior bottom. Even at that low, a buyer from 10/19/23 was still up 2x. Not to mention - according this metric, looks pretty clear we're past the bottom, in case you needed another signal for this. We've got much higher to go.” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | $77,424 | 4h | $77,451 | +0.0% | correct |
| 20 Oct 2026, 20:57 | “Classic Log-Log Decay Channel Model. Bitcoin $1 Million just really isn't that far off. https://t.co/aQwig2FAGv” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | $82,741 | 4h | $82,947 | +0.2% | correct |
| 17 Oct 2026, 02:33 | “In 2022, after the Bitcoin bear reversal, we had the first golden cross of the 'bear' market. About 2 months later, price jumped again by ~30%. If this repeats, the price will get above $100k. About a month left to go. https://t.co/ymulAjQ84i” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | $81,290 | 4h | $81,488 | +0.2% | correct |
| 16 Oct 2026, 16:51 | “(2/2) AND it gets harder every year you wait. Each colored spiral is a start date - today, then 2, 4 and 6 years out. Every one sinks deeper, and another budget falls past its point of no return. The lowest monthly buy that ever reaches 1 BTC: Today: $3,089 In 2 yrs: $5,071 In 4 yrs: $7,934 In 6 yrs: $11,935 Power law price, not spot (spot sits well under it today). NFA. Stack early, stack hard, friends.” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | $81,355 | 4h | $81,605 | +0.3% | correct |
| 13 Oct 2026, 03:02 | “I think Bitcoin is gonna pump any day now.” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | $82,787 | 4h | $83,559 | +0.9% | correct |
| 5 Oct 2026, 19:19 | “@dotkrueger Power law is the ultimate math orange pill” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | $85,767 | 4h | $85,894 | +0.1% | correct |
| 2 Oct 2026, 00:11 | “BTC price level looking great here at $84,830 The longer we hover above the support rainbow, the stronger the bull run case becomes, brick by brick, solidly in accumulation. Currently a 13.6% on the power law quantile framework. https://t.co/B33OsrVohx” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | $84,854 | 4h | $85,452 | +0.7% | correct |
| 30 Sept 2026, 14:23 | “Bitcoin's price is only about $11,500 under what a living anonymous legend - Dacoinminster, anonymous discoverer of Bitcoin's price power law and living legend - predicted the price would be back in 2013. - - - That's just 15% below his prediction, a gap we are sure to be closing here as we move up in the bull.” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | $83,844 | 4h | $83,861 | +0.0% | correct |
| 23 Sept 2026, 20:19 | “Bitcoin's 200-day rolling 99th price percentile (not power law) just ticked up for the first time in over 120 days. 9/10 times this means continued moves upward. BULLISH. Been waiting for that arrow to appear 🔥 https://t.co/hHItsNw3VN” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | $84,358 | 4h | $84,424 | +0.1% | correct |
| 18 Sept 2026, 15:49 | “Bitcoin looking like it's ready to get up off the [Decay Channel] floor. https://t.co/i3qKJJ7LRH” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | $80,655 | 4h | $81,292 | +0.8% | correct |
| 10 Sept 2026, 16:26 | “Dollar Index (DXY) 252d Z-score has been down-trending since June, and just broke negative 👀 Short/med-term risk-on returning Bullish for Bitcoin/Crypto https://t.co/N9HeueBGQi” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | $76,881 | 4h | $77,260 | +0.5% | correct |
| 25 Aug 2026, 21:02 | “Strong reversal in % long-term holder supply in loss From a 45.4% peak to 34.4% today, from this past week's rally. NAIL IN THE COFFIN, BEARS? 🔨🐻🔨🐻🔨 - - - Evidence mounting that we are indeed past the Bitcoin cycle low. https://t.co/QBVHszR2dA” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | $78,200 | 4h | $78,800 | +0.8% | correct |
| 22 Aug 2026, 21:02 | “@BitcoinArchive Very likely the summer reversal we discussed just months back is playing out! 🍻” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | $77,083 | 4h | $77,183 | +0.1% | correct |
| 16 Aug 2026, 15:48 | “Since 2013, only EIGHT days have seen Bitcoin cheaper than today relative to its 5th percentile power law line. That is 0.16% of every daily close in that span, and all eight of them came this year. Seven were ONE consecutive week, June 25 to July 1. The eighth was Friday. - - - Today Bitcoin sits at 0.835x of that line. From 2013 through 2025 it never once got below 0.848x - not at the 2022 bottom, not anywhere. Bottom or not... When something sits in the cheapest fifth of one percent of its price history, it's a time you will remember - for better or worse - when we are climbing the next bull.” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | $63,058 | 4h | $63,066 | +0.0% | correct |
