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@ki_young_ju · Unclaimed · Rank #65 (Top 75%) · All time · Stated horizon How it’s ranked
Alpha Collector | Founder & CEO @CryptoQuant_com
Coverage 5 May 2026 – 10 Nov 2026
Calls
5
6 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
40.0%
2 correct / 3 incorrect · 0 neutral
ROI
-1.5%
Average return per call: what following every call with an equal stake returned
Max drawdown
−2.6%
Worst peak-to-trough of following every call, as a share of the stake
Streak
0
Right calls in a row, newest first; neutral results are skipped
Coverage
189d
5 May 2026 – 10 Nov 2026
Best call
+8.8%“I don’t think we can be that definitive, because we don’t know how much capital will flow in during the next bull market. Since this cycle’s price increase hasn’t been that large, the amount of capital needed to push Bitcoin higher is still not extremely high. If Bitcoin truly absorbs several trillion dollars in capital during the next bull market, I think a 10x move is absolutely possible. But if inflows stay around current levels, or only slightly higher, and still below $1T, then I think it would likely play out closer to the scenario you described.”
Worst call
-7.1%“Don't confuse a bull market correction with a bear market. Bitcoin is still in the early bull phase. BTFD. https://t.co/vmCbDXog1O”
Every token @ki_young_ju has called, most recent first. The badge is their latest call on it. 1 token, all time.
Last called 30 Oct 2026 · 13 calls since 26 Jun 2026
9 bullish · 4 bearish
By month resolved · Stated horizon
35 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
| Posted (UTC) | Call | Asset | Direction | Price at post | Horizon | Price at horizon | Return | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun 2026, 07:02 | “Here’s a log-scale chart. From a traditional cycle perspective, Bitcoin does not look close to a bottom yet. Risk/reward improves sharply as price approaches investors’ cost basis. Every major cycle has touched realized price. If not, maybe “this time is different.” https://t.co/4EARtkfRYQ” |
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All time · stated
| BTC |
| ▼ Bearish |
| $60,421 |
| 30d |
| $64,311 |
| +6.4% |
| incorrect |
| 26 Jun 2026, 07:02 | “Not sure Bitcoin is at the cycle bottom. https://t.co/rhDiIbHkxY” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | — | 30d | — | — | unscored |
| 24 Jun 2026, 04:59 | “'@Strategy's BTC buying here looks more like a liquidity sink than a price catalyst. They should pause Bitcoin purchases, rebuild cash reserves, and adopt a systematic framework for purchase timing. In a low-selling-pressure environment, that demand can move price meaningfully. Under current conditions, with selling pressure clearly elevated, it may do little more than defend the range. Bitcoin's realized cap grew by $467B over the past two years, yet price is actually down 1%. Even with hundreds of billions in capital flowing into the market, all that happens is a change of hands. Price doesn't move up. Worse, continuous buying may prevent a deeper market-clearing drawdown, giving more holders the liquidity and confidence to take profits. Normally, Bitcoin cycles reset through crashes, capitulation, weak-hand exits, and whale accumulation. This cycle has been different so far. Bitcoin has moved sideways in a wide range for almost two years. It hasn't been strong enough to confirm a new bull market, but not weak enough to force real capitulation. As a result, weak hands have not been fully flushed out, and strong hands have not re-accumulated aggressively. The market may need a proper reset before it can build a stronger recovery, rather than continue drifting sideways. Bitcoin is structurally scarce, but scarcity does not make timing irrelevant. Respectfully, what @saylor should consider next: 1/ Pause BTC purchases until cash reserves and dividend coverage are restored. 2/ Build a systematic, model-driven purchase framework. “Strategy always buys the local top” has become a real market meme. Buying whenever capital is available is not a strategy. 3/ Create a disciplined selling framework for the next bull market. Partial sales near cycle highs would not mean abandoning Bitcoin. It would deleverage the company, realize shareholder value, and create dry powder to re-accumulate lower. That's not trading. It's risk management.” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | — | 30d | — | — | unscored |
| 4 Jun 2026, 03:18 | “This distribution phase feels like a massive change of hands. Bitcoin investors' average cost basis is around $53K. Historically, bear markets ended only after the price fell below the realized price. I thought that level would be hard to revisit, given institutional inflows and MSTR barely selling any BTC. But current price action suggests unusually strong sell pressure. • Since Jan 2023, MSTR bought 711,206 BTC and sold only 32 BTC, removing 711,174 BTC from circulation. • Since BTC was also $63K in Mar 2024, ETFs absorbed 509,102 BTC and MSTR bought 650,706 BTC. That is 1,240,808 BTC absorbed, yet price is back at the same level. • For context, exchange reserves are around 2.7M BTC, and Satoshi is estimated to hold around 1M BTC. More BTC than Satoshi’s stack, nearly half of exchange reserves, has been absorbed, and price is still back at the same level.” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | — | 30d | — | — | unscored |
| 29 May 2026, 10:07 | “Once profit-taking cascades, Bitcoin investors' PnL typically falls for about 18 months. Since the trend turned in Oct 2025, the bear market could last until early 2027. The trend only changes when unrealized profits rise and realized profits fall. We're not there yet. https://t.co/fQyIRLu8vv” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | — | 30d | — | — | unscored |
