Loading…
Published 1 Jul 2026, 07:50 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:56 UTC
Ki Young Ju
@ki_young_ju
In reply to · 1 Jul 2026, 07:43 UTC · context given to the AI
@ki_young_ju $btc espoonential decay by a factor of 4/5x would say next run will be 2x/3x top (from the local bottom) if this data will continue to be consistent, right?I don’t think we can be that definitive, because we don’t know how much capital will flow in during the next bull market. Since this cycle’s price increase hasn’t been that large, the amount of capital needed to push Bitcoin higher is still not extremely high. If Bitcoin truly absorbs several trillion dollars in capital during the next bull market, I think a 10x move is absolutely possible. But if inflows stay around current levels, or only slightly higher, and still below $1T, then I think it would likely play out closer to the scenario you described.View original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
r = 60058.92 / 58686.91 − 1 = +2.3%d × r = +2.3% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correctOnly the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
Uses only text available at publication time
Think the interpretation or outcome is wrong? Sign in with X to request a correction, so reviewers know who is asking.
Sign in to request a correction