Loading profile…
@benjamincowen · Unclaimed · Rank #32 (Top 43%) · 90 days · 7 days horizon How it’s ranked
Founder & CEO, ITC | Macro, commodities & digital assets | Liquidity, labor & risk cycles | PhD Engineering | Former NASA, Sandia National Labs
Coverage 8 May 2026 – 10 Nov 2026
Calls
5
2 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
60.0%
3 correct / 2 incorrect · 0 neutral
ROI
+0.6%
Average return per call: what following every call with an equal stake returned
Max drawdown
−0.5%
Worst peak-to-trough of following every call, as a share of the stake
Streak
3
Right calls in a row, newest first; neutral results are skipped
Coverage
186d
8 May 2026 – 10 Nov 2026
Best call
+3.5%“Yesterday Google dropped 10%+ after hours, today it is Intel. Remember in Q4 of midterm years, it is usually a correction in equities that drags Bitcoin back down https://t.co/LYU0yZlx4M”
Worst call
-2.1%“Could be. But let's be honest. Bitcoin when valued against SPX and Gold and is at same valuation it was at 5 years ago. It's hard to dunk on "paper hands" when BTC has not even outperformed index funds for so long. I think a higher rates environment, coupled with macro stresses has been unfavorable to Bitcoin when valued in other assets and not just USD, and until those macro headwinds dissipate, we likely continue to see more of the same.”
Every token @benjamincowen has called, most recent first. The badge is their latest call on it. 2 tokens, all time.
Last called 9 Nov 2026 · 15 calls since 28 May 2026
1 bullish · 14 bearish
Last called 21 May 2026
By month resolved · 7 days horizon
40 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
| Posted (UTC) | Call | Asset | Direction | Price at post | Horizon | Price at horizon | Return | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Nov 2026, 20:42 | “@zoo_put For the last month, tech has rallied at the beginning of the week, before reversing as the week went on. Bitcoin is maybe just sniffing out what tech stocks have not yet.” |
Think your calls are better?
Get ranked on the same rules, or challenge @benjamincowen head to head.
90 days · 7d
| BTC |
| ▼ Bearish |
| — |
| 7d |
| — |
| — |
| unscored |
| 9 Nov 2026, 03:50 | “@vitorfidm I did see the bounce coming, it just went higher than I thought. I said we would form a low in late June/early July. I even said the accumulation zone started on July 1st. Despite all of that, my base case was Q4 weakness after the Q3 rally. https://t.co/G2qEimkpZq” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | — | 7d | — | — | unscored |
| 9 Nov 2026, 03:36 | “@BouchotMaxime I think Bitcoin will stay weak probably into mid-December around next FOMC. Let's see where it is by then” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | — | 7d | — | — | pending |
| 9 Nov 2026, 03:32 | “I was directionally correct for years. I knew which way the wind was blowing, even if it took a while to get there. It's not like ADA/BTC ever durably went up during that time. It was always dead cat bounces the entire way down. People just could not accept that ADA would bleed to BTC. But it's not that complicated. Over a long period of time, everything in crypto bleeds to Bitcoin.” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | — | 7d | — | — | unscored |
| 9 Nov 2026, 03:10 | “Throughout 2026, I have said that the reason for Bitcoin to drop in Q4 is due to a correction in equities. This is what happened in Q4 of 2014, 2018, and 2022 as well. People can mock these ideas (and they have), but it does not stop the events from happening all the same.” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | — | 7d | — | — | unscored |
| 9 Nov 2026, 01:23 | “@masatoalexander I remember when it was like 3,000-4,000 sats saying it would go to 400 sats, and people mocked me for 2-3 years until it finally got there Turns out I was being optimistic” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | — | 7d | — | — | unscored |
| 8 Nov 2026, 23:58 | “@cometcalls When did I apologize? I said I was wrong about the May high being taken out. During the breakout, I even said I had not abandoned the Q4 thesis. https://t.co/BPiMNGHerk” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | — | 7d | — | — | unscored |
| 5 Nov 2026, 15:26 | “If the NASDAQ can go back to the summer lows, then so can Bitcoin. https://t.co/XlW30AtgCl” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | — | 7d | — | — | pending |
| 2 Nov 2026, 20:38 | “Bitcoin looks to be in the process of dumping into its Q4 low. Prior midterm years had a low in Q1 (often Feb), a low in the summer, and a low in Q4. This time does not look different. https://t.co/B4pYvr2pNL” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | — | 7d | — | — | unscored |
| 30 Oct 2026, 19:00 | “#BTC and #SILVER went up about the same amount in the bull market (just different paths to get there). Perhaps they bottom around the same level too (just different paths to get there). Bitcoin historically goes below both the realized price and balanced price in bear markets (neither of which have happened yet). Though we have been getting closer and closer each cycle to not taking out the balanced price, so I would not be so deterministic about that. Just keep those risks in mind in Q4 and don't lose sight of the bigger picture. Could see both doing well next year once this drop is over.” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 7d | — | — | unscored |
| 30 Oct 2026, 18:37 | “Not perfect, but seems mostly correct https://t.co/jLHzwBwIUu” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | — | 7d | — | — | unscored |
| 30 Oct 2026, 18:34 | “@RealVolHunter i did not capitulate. I said I was wrong about the May high. Did you just ignored everything I said for the last month? I have said over and over that a q4 correction in equities was still likely and that it would bring btc back down” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | — | 7d | — | — | unscored |
| 30 Oct 2026, 15:14 | “This should go without saying, but usually the time to sell Bitcoin (if you are going to) is Q4 of post-halving years, not during the Q4 dump of midterm years. Usually the Q4 dump of midterm years just provide opportunities to buy for those who sold long ago. While many people will have you believe all sorts of things, I was clear that Q4 2025 was the top and that the accumulation phase started (in my mind) on July 1st, 2026 (with the potential for a Q4 drop like we typically see in midterm years). https://t.co/14Oak0q03W” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 7d | — | — | unscored |
| 30 Oct 2026, 14:54 | “@JackKranjac @MatthewHyland_ @TheCryptoZombie The 60s seems like a strong possibility to me soonish, but I could be wrong” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | — | 7d | — | — | unscored |
| 30 Oct 2026, 14:53 | “@skullhunterbot At $84k I said I was wrong about the May high but that I still thought there was reason to believe in a dump in Q4. I was actually very clear about that for the last month. Not sure why or how you missed that. https://t.co/lq6t6DYqza” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | — | 7d | — | — | unscored |
