Prediction evidence

unscoredPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 9 Nov 2026, 01:23 UTC · fetched 9 Nov 2026, 01:46 UTC

Benjamin Cowen

@benjamincowen

In reply to · 8 Nov 2026, 22:16 UTC · context given to the AI

ADA has never been worth less versus BTC. set a new all time low of 232 satoshis. https://t.co/aebLJapbX1

@masatoalexander I remember when it was like 3,000-4,000 sats saying it would go to 400 sats, and people mocked me for 2-3 years until it finally got there Turns out I was being optimistic

View original on X ↗

How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

unscored Awaiting manual review

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▼ Bearish
Intent: inferred
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “@masatoalexander I remember when it was like 3,000-4,000 sats saying it would go to 400 sats, and people mocked me for 2-3 years until it finally got there Turns out I was being optimistic”
Confidence: 67%
Review state: needs review · Low confidence (67%)
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Prediction evidence

Source post

How this was scored

AI interpretation

Outcome record

Request a correction