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@benjamincowen · Unclaimed · Rank #16 (Top 18%) · All time · 24 hours horizon How it’s ranked
Founder & CEO, ITC | Macro, commodities & digital assets | Liquidity, labor & risk cycles | PhD Engineering | Former NASA, Sandia National Labs
Coverage 8 May 2026 – 10 Nov 2026
Calls
15
0 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
53.3%
8 correct / 7 incorrect · 0 neutral
ROI
+0.4%
Average return per call: what following every call with an equal stake returned
Max drawdown
−0.4%
Worst peak-to-trough of following every call, as a share of the stake
Streak
3
Right calls in a row, newest first; neutral results are skipped
Coverage
186d
8 May 2026 – 10 Nov 2026
Best call
+4.2%“Trying to predict short-term price action is hard, as I generally consider the short-term moves akin to a random walk, or geometric brownian motion. ..but.. if i had to guess, I would guess that BTC tags $70k soon, then gets a small bounce. But after the bounce is over (likely a few days to a week or so), I do think BTC will head back to the lows from February 2026. If I'm wrong about BTC revisiting the lows from February, I will quote tweet this and simply say "I was wrong." And then I will let every bull dunk away.”
Worst call
-2.4%“Could be. But let's be honest. Bitcoin when valued against SPX and Gold and is at same valuation it was at 5 years ago. It's hard to dunk on "paper hands" when BTC has not even outperformed index funds for so long. I think a higher rates environment, coupled with macro stresses has been unfavorable to Bitcoin when valued in other assets and not just USD, and until those macro headwinds dissipate, we likely continue to see more of the same.”
Every token @benjamincowen has called, most recent first. The badge is their latest call on it. 2 tokens, all time.
Last called 9 Nov 2026 · 15 calls since 28 May 2026
1 bullish · 14 bearish
Last called 21 May 2026
By month resolved · 24 hours horizon
88 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
| Posted (UTC) | Call | Asset | Direction | Price at post | Horizon | Price at horizon | Return | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul 2026, 13:34 | “Bitcoin is still generally tracking this idea. Only difference is that the low occurred on July 1st rather than late June (like prior midterm years). https://t.co/6R7zptwdNm” |
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All time · 24h
| BTC |
| ▲ Bullish |
| — |
| 24h |
| — |
| — |
| unscored |
| 6 Jul 2026, 15:57 | “...And just like in 2018, Bitcoin is off to a good start in July 2026. Usually Bitcoin is strong in July and the weakness shows back up in Aug/Sep timeframe. https://t.co/oXdeDuaEs6 https://t.co/Vl6Tu8x6u1” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 24h | — | — | unscored |
| 3 Jul 2026, 03:29 | “@BrungusDeluxe usually Bitcoin gets a countertrend rally in July/sometimes August” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 24h | — | — | unscored |
| 30 Jun 2026, 19:36 | “@TheBigCycleGame Btc rallied in the summer of 2018 and the summer of 2022 and yet still went lower in q4. In fact my base case is that Btc finds a low in early summer then rallies into mid to late summer before getting the final drop” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | — | 24h | — | — | unscored |
| 27 Jun 2026, 13:40 | “Time-based capitulation is the way to typically understand Bitcoin bear markets (where they last about 1 year). Sometimes, bear markets can be shorter (like the one from June 2019-Mar 2020), but that required a large event (the pandemic) to accelerate things. I would be willing to pivot my view upon price-based capitulation. Without that, I think time-based capitulation wins.” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | — | 24h | — | — | unscored |
| 26 Jun 2026, 15:48 | “@Macropulse98 Well something has to break then. Bitcoin has always gone below its realized price during bear markets, which it has not done yet (and is sitting around $53k). It's just a matter of which indicators you think will break. https://t.co/zlETQjHJpe” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | — | 24h | — | — | unscored |
| 26 Jun 2026, 15:42 | “While this bear market feels different, Bitcoin is still tracking the average of prior midterm-year bear markets. Structurally, the market typically gets one final countertrend rally sometime in the summer before the final low occurs later in the year. https://t.co/ybrCMHz9Wr” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | — | 24h | — | — | unscored |
| 22 Jun 2026, 20:35 | “Looks like #BTC is getting squeezed between the Bear Market Resistance Band and the 200W SMA. A decisive move down later this year, while initially scary, would likely just set up the market cycle bottom for Bitcoin in Q4 2026. https://t.co/CEtypo2uYH” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | — | 24h | — | — | unscored |
| 18 Jun 2026, 04:27 | “Treasury companies will bleed to Bitcoin https://t.co/9wUppaVzNq” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | — | 24h | — | — | unscored |
| 10 Jun 2026, 19:14 | “@AshCrypto "No one is talking about this"” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 24h | — | — | unscored |
| 7 Jun 2026, 03:33 | “Bitcoin Enters the 3rd Stage of the Bear Market: https://t.co/BIZRZBwfwJ https://t.co/LIn4TEBqjo” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | — | 24h | — | — | unscored |
| 6 Jun 2026, 16:17 | “@PeterSchiff I am just waiting for your "Don't make the mistake" tweet. Then we will know the low is in. https://t.co/ImBcY4wfrL” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 24h | — | — | unscored |
| 6 Jun 2026, 15:04 | “@PrivacyForUsAll Well so far it is, but I do think btc will eventually go lower” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $60,748 | 24h | $62,071 | +2.2% | incorrect |
| 6 Jun 2026, 11:56 | “Bitcoin has entered the 3rd and final stage of the bear market. This is because the guys who mocked the bears in stages 1-2 are now admitting price could go lower. They were a bull in a bear market, and they will likely turn fully bearish in the bull market” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | — | 24h | — | — | unscored |
| 5 Jun 2026, 17:13 | “@SlickBacker @blknoiz06 @dgt10011 BTC normally finds a low in June of midterm years, even if it's not *the* low” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 24h | — | — | unscored |
