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@ThePenguinXBT · Unclaimed · Rank #85 (Top 96%) · All time · 7 days horizon How it’s ranked
👤 The 21-year-old trader behind The Penguin. 🌊 Elliott Wave without hindsight. 🎟️ If I’m wrong, you’ll see that too. 💎 https://t.co/SfTcag3Wrk - 10x
Coverage 8 May 2026 – 10 Nov 2026
Calls
36
1 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
33.3%
12 correct / 24 incorrect · 0 neutral
ROI
-2.3%
Average return per call: what following every call with an equal stake returned
Max drawdown
−2.3%
Worst peak-to-trough of following every call, as a share of the stake
Streak
0
Right calls in a row, newest first; neutral results are skipped
Coverage
186d
8 May 2026 – 10 Nov 2026
Best call
+23.2%“$BTC bullish count looking much more likely here 🧪 With an internal wave 1 now appearing complete, this is becoming my preferred count. https://t.co/vQlzl26oGi https://t.co/KKfD1w81vO”
Worst call
-23.3%“$BTC SHORT - Trade 4 🧪 Stop: $64,418 Target: $62,216 Size: 6.9 BTC R:R: 4.3 https://t.co/qfOs95QGnS”
Every token @ThePenguinXBT has called, most recent first. The badge is their latest call on it. 3 tokens, all time.
Last called 4 Nov 2026 · 7 calls since 29 May 2026
4 bullish · 3 bearish
Last called 2 Nov 2026 · 34 calls since 11 May 2026
23 bullish · 11 bearish
Last called 25 Aug 2026 · 2 calls since 22 Aug 2026
2 bullish · 0 bearish
By month resolved · 7 days horizon
24 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
| Posted (UTC) | Call | Asset | Direction | Price at post | Horizon | Price at horizon | Return | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov 2026, 15:21 | “Took this here for the $50K to $100K challenge 🧪 Long $ETH QTY: 88 - SL: 2171 - TP: 2805 Hoping to finish it on this one RR: 4.3 https://t.co/uFJ5ZcgdFT” |
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All time · 7d
| ETH |
| ▲ Bullish |
| $2,270 |
| 7d |
| $2,145 |
| -5.5% |
| incorrect |
| 2 Nov 2026, 10:17 | “Lower POI now tagged on $BTC 🧪 Looking for a larger move higher from here, with $90K as the minimum target. https://t.co/r0Djv2iTgh https://t.co/GRedL6PtZQ” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | $77,858 | 7d | $74,050 | -4.9% | incorrect |
| 21 Oct 2026, 11:26 | “$BTC starting to move higher now, which is nice to see 🧪 I think we should see some acceleration over the next few days, potentially tomorrow or Friday. Still looking towards $89K for now - no change to the target. Alts are also looking pretty good here for another leg higher.” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | $83,381 | 7d | $81,215 | -2.6% | incorrect |
| 19 Oct 2026, 12:34 | “$BTC - following on from the last update 🧪 I think we’re likely at some kind of local low for now. My primary scenario is a solid rally towards, but just shy of, the psychological $90K level over the next week or two. We’ve had a clean three-wave move down, with messy highs still sitting above us. That’s why I’m leaning towards another move higher first. The structure into $90K will matter: • A corrective rally and rejection would keep a larger flat correction in play - potentially back towards $77K before a bigger move towards ATH. • A firm break above the $90K region would make me considerably more bullish. Locally bullish for now.” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | $82,505 | 7d | $80,203 | -2.8% | incorrect |
| 8 Sept 2026, 14:53 | “bitcoin:native still making higher highs and higher lows. Why assume it'll change now? https://t.co/4eFTz9QPfb” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | $78,539 | 7d | $75,869 | -3.4% | incorrect |
| 6 Sept 2026, 08:13 | “$BTC - primary bullish count 🧪 Spent some time going through the counts over the weekend. The previous flat idea is now invalidated, leaving a couple of scenarios. his is my preferred bullish count. The bearish alternative treats the move up as corrective, with another leg lower to follow. Still possible, but given the structure on alts and the broader higher-timeframe picture, I’m leaning towards the bulls for now. Invalidation: $57,711.” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | $79,845 | 7d | $76,778 | -3.8% | incorrect |
| 3 Sept 2026, 11:52 | “Trade 8 - bitcoin:native Long 🟢 Stop loss: $76,197 Take profit: $81,509 Quantity: 2.2 BTC Planned R:R: 2.3 https://t.co/wxlboKb05O https://t.co/d52kmUrjQH” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | $77,910 | 7d | $77,810 | -0.1% | incorrect |
| 31 Aug 2026, 14:54 | “Trade 7 - bitcoin:native Short 🔴 Stop loss: $78,791 Take profit: $76,993 Quantity: 10 BTC RR 5.8 https://t.co/bQrshKv4tR” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $78,560 | 7d | $79,184 | +0.8% | incorrect |
| 31 Aug 2026, 13:34 | “$ETH short Trade 6 🔴 We got Stopped out on the previous trade. Stop loss: $2,474 Take profit: $2,387 Quantity: 130 ETH R:R: 3.5 https://t.co/zpPWg31acW” | ETH | ▼ Bearish | $2,440 | 7d | $2,498 | +2.4% | incorrect |
| 24 Aug 2026, 08:26 | “@StoicTraderXBT Short” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $77,026 | 7d | $78,460 | +1.9% | incorrect |
| 20 Aug 2026, 18:10 | “BTC Short Trade 7 🧪 Entry: $72,554 Stop Loss: $72,941 TP1: $71,072 TP2: $67,792 Position Size: 9 BTC Risk/Reward: 1:14 Bit more risky however confident https://t.co/MS8qJ21KS8” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $72,411 | 7d | $80,176 | +10.7% | incorrect |
| 17 Aug 2026, 15:34 | “$BTC SHORT - Trade 4 🧪 Stop: $64,418 Target: $62,216 Size: 6.9 BTC R:R: 4.3 https://t.co/qfOs95QGnS” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $64,141 | 7d | $79,081 | +23.3% | incorrect |
| 12 Aug 2026, 17:22 | “$BTC Bearish alternative here on the medium timeframes that ties into my $ETH count and trade. The higher targets remain the same; - however, this scenario involves coming down to $60K first. Drop a like to see it ❤️ https://t.co/i0Nh4bY6QJ” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $63,399 | 7d | $68,168 | +7.5% | incorrect |
| 12 Aug 2026, 12:08 | “$ETH Trade Update 🧪 Liking the PA here, so I’m adding back into the short and moving my stop above the local highs. Added: 60 ETH Total position: 80 ETH TP: $1,819 SL: $1,941 https://t.co/SvuKXUIzdW https://t.co/Yrm28XDIPI” | ETH | ▼ Bearish | $1,910 | 7d | $1,936 | +1.3% | incorrect |
| 3 Aug 2026, 08:17 | “$BTC Macro Outlook 🧪 My highest-probability count still points lower. - The October 2025 top looks like an ending diagonal. The decline since fits a complex WXY correction better than a clean five-wave impulse. That keeps $42K on the table currently. There is a valid alternate that takes BTC back above $100K first- but it isn’t my base case. The interesting part? Many alts are already sitting near macro lows. Two valid paths. My overall bias remains lower for Btc and up for alts.” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $62,458 | 7d | $65,186 | +4.4% | incorrect |
