@ThePenguinXBT · Unclaimed · Rank #76 (Top 86%) · All time · 4 hours horizon How it’s ranked
👤 The 21-year-old trader behind The Penguin. 🌊 Elliott Wave without hindsight. 🎟️ If I’m wrong, you’ll see that too. 💎 https://t.co/SfTcag3Wrk - 10x
Coverage 8 May 2026 – 10 Nov 2026
Calls
37
0 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
43.2%
16 correct / 21 incorrect · 0 neutral
ROI
-0.2%
Average return per call: what following every call with an equal stake returned
Max drawdown
−0.4%
Worst peak-to-trough of following every call, as a share of the stake
Streak
1
Right calls in a row, newest first; neutral results are skipped
Coverage
186d
8 May 2026 – 10 Nov 2026
Best call
+4.4%“Trade 8 - bitcoin:native Long 🟢 Stop loss: $76,197 Take profit: $81,509 Quantity: 2.2 BTC Planned R:R: 2.3 https://t.co/wxlboKb05O https://t.co/d52kmUrjQH”
Worst call
-8.4%“Selling everything when $SOL hits $1,096. No further questions. 🤝 https://t.co/MbEBnGRM2U”
Every token @ThePenguinXBT has called, most recent first. The badge is their latest call on it. 3 tokens, all time.
Last called 4 Nov 2026 · 7 calls since 29 May 2026
4 bullish · 3 bearish
Last called 2 Nov 2026 · 34 calls since 11 May 2026
23 bullish · 11 bearish
Last called 25 Aug 2026 · 2 calls since 22 Aug 2026
2 bullish · 0 bearish
By month resolved · 4 hours horizon
16 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
| Posted (UTC) | Call | Asset | Direction | Price at post | Horizon | Price at horizon | Return | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Nov 2026, 14:49 | “Starting to move here on $ETH 🤝 https://t.co/13ea27OT46 https://t.co/FHu8uzg0ye” |
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All time · 4h
| ETH |
| ▲ Bullish |
| $2,380 |
| 4h |
| $2,423 |
| +1.8% |
| correct |
| 21 Oct 2026, 11:26 | “$BTC starting to move higher now, which is nice to see 🧪 I think we should see some acceleration over the next few days, potentially tomorrow or Friday. Still looking towards $89K for now - no change to the target. Alts are also looking pretty good here for another leg higher.” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | $83,390 | 4h | $84,354 | +1.2% | correct |
| 15 Oct 2026, 14:11 | “Potential low here on $BTC 🧪 Alts have tapped my areas of interest, so a shallower pullback on BTC could make sense imo. Whether the larger correction is complete or this is just the first part is still unconfirmed, but I’m leaning very bullish here. If we don’t find a bottom here, I’m looking lower toward $76k.” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | $80,977 | 4h | $82,039 | +1.3% | correct |
| 12 Sept 2026, 07:57 | “$BTC update 🧪 Yesterday’s move was interesting. I was sidelined throughout, so no win or loss for me. Price has now retraced most of the move back to VAL, giving us a pretty clean rotation. My read is that we could push higher from here toward the $80K–$81K region before seeing a larger rejection. Two paths remain: - The 76k low was a 2 - This is only an A-wave, with the correction still developing. For now, I’m treating BTC as a range: Longs at VAL. Shorts at VAH. That’s the plan until price proves otherwise.” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | $77,257 | 4h | $77,340 | +0.1% | correct |
| 6 Sept 2026, 08:13 | “$BTC - primary bullish count 🧪 Spent some time going through the counts over the weekend. The previous flat idea is now invalidated, leaving a couple of scenarios. his is my preferred bullish count. The bearish alternative treats the move up as corrective, with another leg lower to follow. Still possible, but given the structure on alts and the broader higher-timeframe picture, I’m leaning towards the bulls for now. Invalidation: $57,711.” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | $79,871 | 4h | $79,936 | +0.1% | correct |
| 3 Sept 2026, 11:52 | “Trade 8 - bitcoin:native Long 🟢 Stop loss: $76,197 Take profit: $81,509 Quantity: 2.2 BTC Planned R:R: 2.3 https://t.co/wxlboKb05O https://t.co/d52kmUrjQH” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | $77,868 | 4h | $81,291 | +4.4% | correct |
| 28 Aug 2026, 18:30 | “$ETH getting the local pullback we expected here. 🧪 Given price took the high in a corrective manner, I’m leaning towards this being a flat. That removes the second long box and makes the first one my primary AOI. Looking for longs inside that box - or potentially a touch higher, depending on the reaction.” | ETH | ▲ Bullish | $2,431 | 4h | $2,435 | +0.1% | correct |
| 20 Aug 2026, 18:10 | “BTC Short Trade 7 🧪 Entry: $72,554 Stop Loss: $72,941 TP1: $71,072 TP2: $67,792 Position Size: 9 BTC Risk/Reward: 1:14 Bit more risky however confident https://t.co/MS8qJ21KS8” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $72,594 | 4h | $72,589 | -0.0% | correct |
| 19 Aug 2026, 05:23 | “$BTC bullish count looking much more likely here 🧪 With an internal wave 1 now appearing complete, this is becoming my preferred count. https://t.co/vQlzl26oGi https://t.co/KKfD1w81vO” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | $64,277 | 4h | $64,337 | +0.1% | correct |
| 12 Aug 2026, 12:08 | “$ETH Trade Update 🧪 Liking the PA here, so I’m adding back into the short and moving my stop above the local highs. Added: 60 ETH Total position: 80 ETH TP: $1,819 SL: $1,941 https://t.co/SvuKXUIzdW https://t.co/Yrm28XDIPI” | ETH | ▼ Bearish | $1,915 | 4h | $1,889 | -1.4% | correct |
| 10 Aug 2026, 10:24 | “First trade of the $50K - $100K Challenge 🧪 $ETH SHORT Entry: $1,917 Stop: $1,979.50 Target: $1,799.85 Size: 40 ETH R:R: 1.8 https://t.co/qccgbsOn6Z https://t.co/fu3KwlVg9x” | ETH | ▼ Bearish | $1,919 | 4h | $1,896 | -1.2% | correct |
| 21 Jul 2026, 05:50 | “Pretty much textbook vertical accumulation here on $BTC. Wouldn't be surprised to see a big move up today and the following days across the board imo. https://t.co/Tr9MDCP3rL” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | $65,704 | 4h | $66,301 | +0.9% | correct |
| 17 Jul 2026, 10:22 | “$BTC Went down further than expected here - I did get stopped out at entry on my long but still thinking higher here and looking for another long soon around here. Invalidation is at the impulse low if this count is correct. https://t.co/EyseG5h5zp https://t.co/JwZBQS5Oow” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | $62,996 | 4h | $63,251 | +0.4% | correct |
| 26 Jun 2026, 21:44 | “Market looks okey Think Btc potential 55k max Altcoins good nontheless” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $59,924 | 4h | $59,879 | -0.1% | correct |
| 19 May 2026, 17:44 | “$BTC 🧪 Got the pullback we expected however did go deeper than expected. - meaning I likely think this is a wave 4 here instead of a nested wave 3 as depicted below. Ultimately this also ties in nicely to the 85K short zone I'm watching for a larger pullback before the next leg up. Overall trend is still up for me and looking for longs.” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | $76,836 | 4h | $76,958 | +0.2% | correct |