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@ThePenguinXBT · Unclaimed · Rank #53 (Top 73%) · 90 days · 30 days horizon How it’s ranked
👤 The 21-year-old trader behind The Penguin. 🌊 Elliott Wave without hindsight. 🎟️ If I’m wrong, you’ll see that too. 💎 https://t.co/SfTcag3Wrk - 10x
Coverage 8 May 2026 – 10 Nov 2026
Calls
23
6 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
52.2%
12 correct / 11 incorrect · 0 neutral
ROI
-1.6%
Average return per call: what following every call with an equal stake returned
Max drawdown
−5.4%
Worst peak-to-trough of following every call, as a share of the stake
Streak
5
Right calls in a row, newest first; neutral results are skipped
Coverage
186d
8 May 2026 – 10 Nov 2026
Best call
+20.6%“$BTC bullish count looking much more likely here 🧪 With an internal wave 1 now appearing complete, this is becoming my preferred count. https://t.co/vQlzl26oGi https://t.co/KKfD1w81vO”
Worst call
-31.4%“$ETH Trade Update 🧪 Liking the PA here, so I’m adding back into the short and moving my stop above the local highs. Added: 60 ETH Total position: 80 ETH TP: $1,819 SL: $1,941 https://t.co/SvuKXUIzdW https://t.co/Yrm28XDIPI”
Every token @ThePenguinXBT has called, most recent first. The badge is their latest call on it. 3 tokens, all time.
Last called 4 Nov 2026 · 7 calls since 29 May 2026
4 bullish · 3 bearish
Last called 2 Nov 2026 · 34 calls since 11 May 2026
23 bullish · 11 bearish
Last called 25 Aug 2026 · 2 calls since 22 Aug 2026
2 bullish · 0 bearish
By month resolved · 30 days horizon
12 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
| Posted (UTC) | Call | Asset | Direction | Price at post | Horizon | Price at horizon | Return | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sept 2026, 07:57 | “$BTC update 🧪 Yesterday’s move was interesting. I was sidelined throughout, so no win or loss for me. Price has now retraced most of the move back to VAL, giving us a pretty clean rotation. My read is that we could push higher from here toward the $80K–$81K region before seeing a larger rejection. Two paths remain: - The 76k low was a 2 - This is only an A-wave, with the correction still developing. For now, I’m treating BTC as a range: Longs at VAL. Shorts at VAH. That’s the plan until price proves otherwise.” |
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90 days · 30d
| BTC |
| ▲ Bullish |
| $77,257 |
| 30d |
| $83,904 |
| +8.6% |
| correct |
| 8 Sept 2026, 14:53 | “bitcoin:native still making higher highs and higher lows. Why assume it'll change now? https://t.co/4eFTz9QPfb” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | $78,539 | 30d | $82,639 | +5.2% | correct |
| 6 Sept 2026, 08:13 | “$BTC - primary bullish count 🧪 Spent some time going through the counts over the weekend. The previous flat idea is now invalidated, leaving a couple of scenarios. his is my preferred bullish count. The bearish alternative treats the move up as corrective, with another leg lower to follow. Still possible, but given the structure on alts and the broader higher-timeframe picture, I’m leaning towards the bulls for now. Invalidation: $57,711.” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | $79,845 | 30d | $86,004 | +7.7% | correct |
| 3 Sept 2026, 11:52 | “Trade 8 - bitcoin:native Long 🟢 Stop loss: $76,197 Take profit: $81,509 Quantity: 2.2 BTC Planned R:R: 2.3 https://t.co/wxlboKb05O https://t.co/d52kmUrjQH” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | $77,910 | 30d | $84,662 | +8.7% | correct |
| 2 Sept 2026, 07:08 | “GM 🧪 Took a fresh look at bitcoin:native after some nice overnight price action. We didn’t reach the demand zone, but the move down unfolded in a clean three-wave structure alongside a reclaim of VAL. That makes it possible the correction is already complete here. Strong markets often give shallower pullbacks, so the marked zone is my primary area for longs. If price pushes deeper, the $75K AOI remains option B.” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | $77,436 | 30d | $86,089 | +11.2% | correct |
| 30 Aug 2026, 16:59 | “bitcoin:native - Sunday night thoughts 🧪 I think the correction down is likely complete here. I’d have preferred slightly lower, but based on probabilities, continuation towards the $90K region now looks more likely. - That’s the major area price needs to get through. Going into the week, I’ll mainly be looking for trend-following scalps. If we’re entering wave 5, the path will likely be harder to predict. Thus Trend playing is better” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | $79,336 | 30d | $83,027 | +4.7% | correct |
| 28 Aug 2026, 18:30 | “$ETH getting the local pullback we expected here. 🧪 Given price took the high in a corrective manner, I’m leaning towards this being a flat. That removes the second long box and makes the first one my primary AOI. Looking for longs inside that box - or potentially a touch higher, depending on the reaction.” | ETH | ▲ Bullish | $2,429 | 30d | $2,698 | +11.1% | correct |
| 25 Aug 2026, 15:39 | “solana:2zMMhcVQEXDtdE6vsFS7S7D5oUodfJHE8vd1gnBouauv 🧪 Bit of a tricky one here counting-wise because of the corrective nature. However, we have been tracking this count for a long time and we are now just fulfilling what we expected here. For now I think we are working in a flat upwards, basically just a standard range. So I think a 1-3 is now in, looking for that corrective 4 back down before potentially a monster wave 5 upwards to those EQ highs, which would be my main DOL before shorts. Looks like a range, probably is a range.” | SOL | ▲ Bullish | $98.38 | 30d | $116.30 | +18.2% | correct |
| 22 Aug 2026, 04:42 | “Selling everything when $SOL hits $1,096. No further questions. 🤝 https://t.co/MbEBnGRM2U” | SOL | ▲ Bullish | $99.10 | 30d | $111.44 | +12.5% | correct |
| 19 Aug 2026, 05:23 | “$BTC bullish count looking much more likely here 🧪 With an internal wave 1 now appearing complete, this is becoming my preferred count. https://t.co/vQlzl26oGi https://t.co/KKfD1w81vO” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | $64,186 | 30d | $77,427 | +20.6% | correct |
| 23 Jul 2026, 15:48 | “$BTC 🧪 Counts a bit unclear working from our July lows upwards at this point in time. Definitely do think that we are working correctively up not impulsively. Nonetheless the direction should be up and I remain bullish unless the trend changes to bearish. Potentially a complex upwards but I have no concrete count on Bitcoin right now and will likely just end up backworking the whole thing afterwards. Alts are in a much better spot at this point in time.” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | $64,907 | 30d | $76,971 | +18.6% | correct |
| 21 Jul 2026, 05:50 | “Pretty much textbook vertical accumulation here on $BTC. Wouldn't be surprised to see a big move up today and the following days across the board imo. https://t.co/Tr9MDCP3rL” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | $65,704 | 30d | $69,375 | +5.6% | correct |
