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@KillaXBT · Unclaimed · Rank #32 (Top 44%) · 90 days · 30 days horizon How it’s ranked
Quantitative trader, 7 years.
Coverage 5 May 2026 – 10 Nov 2026
Calls
81
28 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
63.0%
51 correct / 30 incorrect · 0 neutral
ROI
+3.1%
Average return per call: what following every call with an equal stake returned
Max drawdown
−0.8%
Worst peak-to-trough of following every call, as a share of the stake
Streak
0
Right calls in a row, newest first; neutral results are skipped
Coverage
189d
5 May 2026 – 10 Nov 2026
Best call
+34.9%“I have a small spot $SOL allocation. I’m not particularly bullish on it long term, but I think there’s a good chance we see something like this play out once $BTC starts trending higher again. Personally, I’m targeting a 75–100% move here, nothing too crazy. Patience. https://t.co/OCxR2COmtg https://t.co/uCmZZPe7fq”
Worst call
-25.1%“No surprise so far… $BTC is down 2.8% since FOMC. In 6 of the last 7 cases, we saw average drops of 4-5%. If this reaction mimics the past, we could test the low 60-61K area. Overall, you wouldn't want to see us lose 60K otherwise we will end up sweeping the lows. https://t.co/4EfPJSpNrG https://t.co/ImJMWaTwh9”
Every token @KillaXBT has called, most recent first. The badge is their latest call on it. 3 tokens, all time.
Last called 9 Nov 2026 · 245 calls since 5 May 2026
161 bullish · 84 bearish
Last called 2 Nov 2026 · 7 calls since 7 Jun 2026
5 bullish · 2 bearish
Last called 17 Oct 2026
By month resolved · 30 days horizon
350 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
| Posted (UTC) | Call | Asset | Direction | Price at post | Horizon | Price at horizon | Return | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct 2026, 18:59 | “$BTC The narrative into the 14th is definitely more bearish than bullish. We’ve seen two hunts of 81K. The latest came late last night during the Asian session and was bought up almost immediately after stops were taken below the lows. That makes me think we’re more likely to see a bullish reaction shortly after the 14th, carrying through the rest of the month. Another hunt of the highs toward 87-88K is possible.” |
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90 days · 30d
| BTC |
| ▲ Bullish |
| — |
| 30d |
| — |
| — |
| pending |
| 13 Oct 2026, 17:44 | “There’s absolutely no fucking way this doesn’t hit 100%. I’m telling you now with confidence $BTC makes a new ATH in 2027. 30% odds is insane. People are way to fucking bearish. I already calculated the math... https://t.co/kfYVsBxSLT https://t.co/8wucpvBOAX” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 30d | — | — | unscored |
| 13 Oct 2026, 16:48 | “Well, it’s been a while since I’ve updated this position. This was one of my boldest positions. Longing the $BTC bottom publicly. There’s not much to update apart from the fact that we’re going a lot higher on the HTF. We’ve formed a weekly HH, flipped the 100 and 200 EMAs on the weekly and are forming a crossover. We’ve also flipped almost every single moving average metric, confirming that the bottom is in. The only difference is seasonality. The only thing making people question this is the fact that we didn’t bottom in Q4. Did you really have to be that naive to think we’d follow the exact same pattern every single cycle forever? That’s just not logical. Markets evolve. BTC is evolving. As for my target, it’s still the same. In fact, we could go higher. But I won’t be closing anything from this particular long position until we’re trading above $0.15M per coin. We’re still 60% away from the ATH. There’s still money to be made, even if you didn’t get the best entry. Till then, the trend is your friend. You shouldn't be taking any shorts below ATH.” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 30d | — | — | unscored |
| 12 Oct 2026, 14:20 | “You want to see $BTC bulls step in here. Otherwise, we risk a more corrective move below 80K. We closed above the range, and now we’re retesting its structural integrity. If price breaks back below and fails to reclaim it, that compromises the range. We don’t need another sweep of the lows to find liquidity, we’ve already seen around $2B in liquidations. That would actually signal more weakness than strength in my eyes. What we need now is strength. Buyers have to show their hand. Otherwise, the defence of 80K may have just baited people into the range before a move towards 76-78K. This is a key area if we are going higher.” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | — | 30d | — | — | unscored |
| 12 Oct 2026, 13:00 | “Funny how STH supply reached overheated levels last cycle after breaking away from the macro bottom, just like it has this cycle. That’s another sign the bottom is in. Even after reaching those levels in 2023, $BTC still continued to grind higher while respecting the HTF trend. That’s exactly what we’re seeing now. Don’t get fooled by the Fear & Greed Index. The market can stay irrational far longer than most people expect.” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 30d | — | — | pending |
| 11 Oct 2026, 13:39 | “The ideal scenario would be for $BTC to push higher into the midterms, build a bullish narrative and sweep the highs. Then, as in previous cycles, we get a corrective move after the midterms. This time though, that correction wouldn’t lead to a new cycle low. It would establish a higher low instead. That feels like the most plausible scenario to me. If we dump into the midterms, I think we’re more likely to pump afterwards towards 95K. Nearly 2B in longs have just been liquidated, and the midterms are only 3 weeks away. In my view, the maximum pain scenario would be a move back up into the midterms, after one side of the narrative has already been wrecked, followed by a reversal that catches the other side before the market derisks again. The midterms will likely be framed as either a bearish or bullish catalyst. But given the current price action, sentiment, and the fact that one side has already been taken out, it looks like shorts are more exposed than longs right now. 3/4 midterms were followed by bearish price action one to two months later. Based on that historical sample, the odds are 75%. I’m all for the market going up, but I trade the statistics and data, not just the outcome I want. So i think we only get the derisking after, not before the midterms. Just some food for thought on the current price action. I’m still holding the 10x long, along with the longs I posted at 62.6K and 76.4K. All positions remain open at full size.” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 30d | — | — | unscored |
| 10 Oct 2026, 17:51 | “I will see you at 160-180K for 1 $BTC in 2029. https://t.co/PYBk0w1g0t” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 30d | — | — | unscored |
| 10 Oct 2026, 15:37 | “The last time we saw a comparable wave of long liquidations on the HTF, $BTC marked a local bottom. We’ve now cleared out significant long leverage without losing the range. There’s very little liquidity below us, while multiple EQHs are building a clear pool of buy-side liquidity above.” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | $82,976 | 30d | $75,431 | -9.1% | incorrect |
| 10 Oct 2026, 08:12 | “Lets keep it simple. If the current weekly candle can close above the previous weekly low, that seems pretty bullish to me. If anything, it would look like a typical stop hunt below the lows before accepting back into the range... $BTC https://t.co/s979X46KqE” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 30d | — | — | unscored |
| 9 Oct 2026, 16:18 | “We are now 24 days away from the midterms. Historically, $BTC has reacted negatively afterwards in 3/4 instances. My view therefore remains unchanged: any meaningful de-risking is more likely to begin after the midterms rather than before them. I do not expect a new bear market low. However, I do expect a higher low to form after the midterms, potentially an important established low before the next leg towards new highs. There are two main scenarios I’m observing 1.) BTC pumps into the midterms, followed by a 10%+ correction afterwards. 2.) BTC sells off into the midterms, then begins trending higher shortly after. A lot of my trading is about mapping out potential scenarios in advance, then reacting accordingly when the time comes.” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 30d | — | — | unscored |
| 9 Oct 2026, 14:17 | “Sorry, said BTC instead of USDT.D for the first line: "if we are following the 2023 fractal, USDT.D now shows acceptance back within the range on the LTFs after deviating above the highs."” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 30d | — | — | unscored |
| 8 Oct 2026, 21:03 | “A lot of people are posting previous cycle corrections as though Bitcoin is guaranteed to mirror them perfectly. That is a big mistake. This cycle is different, whether people like it or not. We have retraced roughly 50% of the entire bear market decline, something we have never seen before. Add in the largest short-liquidation event from 62K to 80K, and the context is completely different. You cannot compare cycles that saw 77–80% drawdowns and then expect the same depth of corrections now. We bottomed around -54%. That materially changes the scale of pullbacks we should expect throughout the bull market. The implication is simple: corrections are likely to be shallower than in previous cycles. Expecting identical downside because an old fractal looks similar is the same linear thinking that had people convinced Bitcoin would follow the exact same cycle pattern forever. I was one of the first to recognise that the cycles were speeding up, meaning an earlier bottom, and positioned accordingly. Posting a fractal without accounting for the wider context is narrow minded analysis. In 2023, BTC dropped 77%. During the recovery from 16K to 69K, the deepest correction was roughly 21%. This cycle, BTC only dropped 54%, around one third less severe. Applying that same logic, a 21% correction reduced by one-third would put the largest pullback closer to 14%. A 14% drop from the 87K highs puts $BTC almost precisely at 75K. And thats if we get the full blown corrrection from 87K. It could be from 95K down to 80K. It's to soon to say. So even in a full-scale correction from here, we are only around 6% away from that level. Are you really willing to miss a potential 60% move higher because you are waiting for an extra 6% lower? I wouldn’t be. Larger capital clearly isn’t either. I still believe the 92-95K region is where we could see a more meaningful, broader correction, but it may simply take time to get there. For those still waiting on 70K: based on the maths, the context, and the way this cycle has behaved, there is a real chance we never see it again. Even another test of 75K would be a gift. You need to adjust your mindset if you expect corrections to mirror prior cycles. This cycle has already been structurally different from the moment it bottomed. This is Wall Street’s asset now.” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 30d | — | — | unscored |
| 8 Oct 2026, 16:15 | “Not like we haven’t seen before. More $BTC FUD, right in the middle of a bull market. What have I said repeatedly? FUD during a bullish macro trend ultimately becomes fuel for higher prices on the HTFs. And once again, the fear is building while the macro structure remains firmly bullish. Oh well. Some people never learn. I will let them be. Time will prove who is right.” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | $80,886 | 30d | $75,641 | -6.5% | incorrect |
| 7 Oct 2026, 17:57 | “Plans change. That is trading. Initially, I was prepared to sit out and wait for the 80-82K area. However, seeing sentiment completely fall apart while we are still holding the exact same range is telling. We have also just wiped out roughly 750M in longs on this move down. To me, this looks like a healthy market cleanse, a brief deleveraging event. We dropped 6% from the highs, so I have decided to re-enter with a 10x long. In bull markets, the "ideal" sweep or perfect entry often never comes. The level everyone is waiting for is the one price does not need to revisit. From experience, I would rather position slightly ahead of the herd than be left waiting for a level that doesn't have to be tested. That is why I have re-entered the position just 0.75% lower.” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 30d | — | — | unscored |
| 7 Oct 2026, 15:07 | “I have decided to activate into another 10x long position on $BTC here. Entry is 82.860. Invalidation is 74.550 with maintaince margin. In the event invalidation is hit, I will long a second entry on 10x. This is again, a seperate position from my current longs from 62.600 & 76400. The objective of this trade is simple. Utilize leverage to capitalize on bitcoins movement to 126,000 next year.” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 30d | — | — | unscored |
