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Published 9 Oct 2026, 16:18 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:57 UTC
Killa
@KillaXBT
Quoting · 4 Oct 2026, 00:19 UTC · context given to the AI
What if $BTC just keeps going up till midterms? Every midterm cycle, we have seen BTC perform negatively afterwards. So, why not wait for the midterms to actually approach then react to the price action. Atleast, that is what I am doing. https://t.co/F2uko0NiM5We are now 24 days away from the midterms. Historically, $BTC has reacted negatively afterwards in 3/4 instances. My view therefore remains unchanged: any meaningful de-risking is more likely to begin after the midterms rather than before them. I do not expect a new bear market low. However, I do expect a higher low to form after the midterms, potentially an important established low before the next leg towards new highs. There are two main scenarios I’m observing 1.) BTC pumps into the midterms, followed by a 10%+ correction afterwards. 2.) BTC sells off into the midterms, then begins trending higher shortly after. A lot of my trading is about mapping out potential scenarios in advance, then reacting accordingly when the time comes.View original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
unscored Awaiting manual review
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
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