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@CryptoBusy · Crypto Educators & Market Analyst | #Bitcoin Trader Since 2017 | Early-Stage Alpha Hunter: RWA, AI, DePIN, L1/L2, Web3 Gaming
Coverage 23 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
50
Top 50% · #9 of 17 ranked
Scored calls
56
11 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
75.8%
25 correct / 8 incorrect · 23 neutral
Avg 30d return / call
+5.85%
Avg return per call (30 day horizon)
Following every call
+327.5%
Equal stake on all 56 calls resolved in the last 90 days
Mean alpha
+1.70%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (64) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 14% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 80.5% | 91 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −67.6% | 88 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +1.70% | 34 | 25% |
By month resolved · 30 days horizon
8 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“Bitcoin sellers are getting exhausted! 🚨 Glassnode’s Seller Exhaustion data is approaching levels seen near previous bear market bottoms. But past cycles went even lower, suggesting $BTC may still need more selling pressure to fully reset. https://t.co/OZXQdauWeJ”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 92.3% |
72 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.10 | 53 | 25% |
90 days · 30d
“Treasury yields remain elevated, keeping financial conditions tight even without another rate hike! 🚨 Higher yields can continue to pressure liquidity, making the macro environment challenging for risk assets like $BTC. https://t.co/PP7b7jLKd2”
“@MarzellCrypto Bulls need to reclaim lost support quickly, otherwise sellers will likely stay in control.”
“Markets are watching the Fed! 👀 There is now a 36.3% chance of a rate hike at the July 29 FOMC meeting. Higher interest rates could reduce liquidity and create short-term pressure on $BTC and other risk assets. https://t.co/DOukjJcMtB”
“$ETH is about 17% below its realized price, suggesting it is trading at a discount. However, historical bottom signals have not fully aligned yet, meaning the market may still need more time before a confirmed bottom forms. https://t.co/McDQOpxMrw”
“$ETH just broke below its multi-year trendline for the first time. My honest take: this is the level that decides everything. Reclaim the trendline and the bottom is likely in. Stay below it and $1,200-1,300 becomes the next stop. I would rather see it reclaim first than catch the falling knife here.”
“bitcoin:native correcting hard after the parabolic run! ETF outflows + saylor selling narrative + war/oil + Fed hawkishness + rotation into AI doing the damage. Long-term thesis still alive, but near-term pain until flows turn or Fed pivots. Watching that $60k zone closely. But if it breaks, 49K is still a possibility.”
“@Nebraskangooner $ETH still looks weak from a market structure perspective. Until key levels are reclaimed, protecting capital and waiting for confirmation is probably the better approach.”