Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $64,828 at 27 Jul 2026, 17:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 7 days horizon, $63,707 at 3 Aug 2026, 17:00 UTC.
3. r = 63707.25 / 64828.3 − 1 = -1.73%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +1.73% against a neutral band of ±2.50% → neutral

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology