Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $1,887 at 24 Jul 2026, 09:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $1,852 at 25 Jul 2026, 09:00 UTC.
3. r = 1852.08 / 1886.83 − 1 = -1.84%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +1.84% against a neutral band of ±1.25% → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology