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@Alejandro_XBT · Unclaimed · Rank #55 (Top 63%) · All time · Stated horizon How it’s ranked
Crypto since 2017 | Helping Investors Navigate Markets | All Posts NFA + DYOR
Coverage 8 May 2026 – 10 Nov 2026
Calls
47
5 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
48.9%
23 correct / 24 incorrect · 0 neutral
ROI
-0.1%
Average return per call: what following every call with an equal stake returned
Max drawdown
−4.4%
Worst peak-to-trough of following every call, as a share of the stake
Streak
10
Right calls in a row, newest first; neutral results are skipped
Coverage
186d
8 May 2026 – 10 Nov 2026
Best call
+24.9%“bitcoin:native is distributing at range highs after the relief rally. This looks like a classic deviation setup above resistance before a violent move back into the range. Failure to hold this area could trigger a full rotation toward the range low near 60k https://t.co/D9Ms5a2cTp”
Worst call
-27.4%“Here's my base case for the next 12–24 months: > Tech stocks fall around 60% from current levels. > Crypto gets crushed. I see Bitcoin somewhere between $16K–30K, Ethereum at $500–900, and altcoins... I'd rather not even talk about them. > Gold corrects, but remains one of the best places to hide. I don't expect it to fall much compared to other assets. > The U.S. dollar strengthens. King Dollar ($DXY) stays in control. > Oil keeps pushing higher until the Strait of Hormuz fully reopens.”
Every token @Alejandro_XBT has called, most recent first. The badge is their latest call on it. 2 tokens, all time.
Last called 9 Nov 2026 · 45 calls since 11 May 2026
0 bullish · 45 bearish
Last called 9 Oct 2026 · 12 calls since 20 May 2026
0 bullish · 12 bearish
By month resolved · Stated horizon
23 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
| Posted (UTC) | Call | Asset | Direction | Price at post | Horizon | Price at horizon | Return | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct 2026, 09:39 | “$COIN and crypto, especially Bitcoin, are highly correlated. Interesting to see Coinbase forming such a bearish structure, with a potential downside target of $50 by 2027. If this plays out, it would add even more fuel to my thesis that crypto has much further to fall. The market might not be pricing in the downside risk yet.” |
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All time · stated
| BTC |
| ▼ Bearish |
| $82,961 |
| 30d |
| $74,410 |
| -10.3% |
| correct |
| 9 Oct 2026, 19:50 | “$ETH is cooked. The sell-off to $1,500 is going to be EPIC.” | ETH | ▼ Bearish | $2,475 | 30d | $2,230 | -9.9% | correct |
| 6 Oct 2026, 16:31 | “No updates from me because Bitcoin is still in the process of topping. Tops don’t happen in one candle. This process usually takes time. Let the market do its thing. $58K is coming back in the short term. $BTC” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $85,619 | 4h | $85,619 | -0.0% | correct |
| 29 Sept 2026, 13:09 | “The dollar is in a very similar technical position to October 2021. It has built a base near the bottom of the channel and, in my view, is setting up for another impulsive move toward the upper side. Go back and study what happened to Bitcoin in the months after the dollar started that rally. That’s why I’m not interested in calling a Bitcoin bottom yet. Until $DXY gets much closer to the top of this channel, I think the pressure on risk assets remains.” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $84,190 | 30d | $80,189 | -4.8% | correct |
| 28 Sept 2026, 09:51 | “Have you seen what happened to Gold? The entire move got erased. That’s exactly what I think is coming for Bitcoin too. You’ve laughed, mocked and insulted me a lot lately. But as they say... He who laughs last, laughs best. $BTC” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $82,636 | 30d | $81,436 | -1.5% | correct |
| 26 Sept 2026, 13:54 | “Now that everyone assumes the bull market is back, this is exactly where I expect $BTC to turn. Hope has returned. Confidence is back. People think the worst is over. That’s usually when the market does the most damage. If I’m right, the next move will break a lot of people’s expectations. The pain will be massive.” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $83,933 | 30d | $79,566 | -5.2% | correct |
| 23 Sept 2026, 19:59 | “The path of maximum pain, in my view, is a weekly and monthly close back below $82K. That would mean re-entering the range. Deviation confirmed. Bull trap confirmed. From there, the obvious move would be toward the range lows, sweeping all the longs sitting below $60K. And once that liquidity is taken, I think the sell-off could accelerate very quickly toward $40K. That’s the real path of maximum pain. You may like it or not, but if you think “maximum pain” means price just keeps going up and everyone who has been underwater for more than a year suddenly gets rescued back into profit... I think you’re looking at it completely backwards. $BTC” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $84,521 | 30d | $81,184 | -3.9% | correct |
| 23 Sept 2026, 16:06 | “See you at $60K in a few weeks. Thanks for buying the top. Exit liquidity always needs volunteers. $BTC https://t.co/Q981SRDa9V” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $84,030 | 30d | $81,611 | -2.9% | correct |
| 21 Sept 2026, 12:44 | “Call me crazy, but I don’t believe this move. Back in 2018, Bitcoin had several 80% rallies too, and every single time people were calling the bottom… right before BTC eventually collapsed to $3K. My view hasn’t changed. I still don’t think the bear market is over, and if I’m right, this move should be close to running out of steam.” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $85,300 | 30d | $83,399 | -2.2% | correct |
| 19 Sept 2026, 08:49 | “If it looks like a bearish retest, it’s probably a bearish retest. $ETH https://t.co/BuiVAcPtWC” | ETH | ▼ Bearish | $2,644 | 30d | $2,433 | -8.0% | correct |
| 18 Sept 2026, 21:37 | “I didn’t see this level of euphoria when Bitcoin hit $82K back in May. Maybe it’s because now you all think the bear market is over and everything is about to pump hard again? Sorry, I don’t think that’s going to happen.” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $81,224 | 30d | $81,116 | -0.1% | correct |
| 16 Jul 2026, 20:06 | “The bounce is over. I hope you understand. $BTC https://t.co/7dn1H6arEq” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $64,057 | 30d | $63,037 | -1.6% | correct |
| 4 Jun 2026, 12:06 | “$ETH update https://t.co/QsDWHCpKEd https://t.co/H0NDZqHcBZ” | ETH | ▼ Bearish | $1,776 | 30d | $1,763 | -0.8% | correct |
| 2 Jun 2026, 16:55 | “I'll say it again: Bitcoin is heading to the 30K–40K range. That's the real test. If it can't build a solid base there, then 12K comes into play. Many people laugh at 12K. They think it's impossible. I agree it's less likely, but it's still on my table. As for Ethereum? $1,000 if you're lucky. $400 if you're not. This year still has plenty of blood left. Hope you understand.” | ETH | ▼ Bearish | $1,918 | 30d | $1,698 | -11.4% | correct |
| 1 Jun 2026, 23:10 | “Bitcoin is doing exactly what I said it would do. Weeks ago, I was getting laughed at for saying this wasn't the bottom. We're heading straight toward 40K. Keep listening to the people who called every bounce a bottom. I'll keep listening to the charts.” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $71,314 | 30d | $59,961 | -15.9% | correct |
