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@swarmister · Unclaimed · Rank #48 (Top 54%) · All time · 7 days horizon How it’s ranked
Satoshi Nakamoto is God, and I am His apostle
Coverage 8 May 2026 – 10 Nov 2026
Calls
77
1 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
41.6%
32 correct / 45 incorrect · 0 neutral
ROI
+0.1%
Average return per call: what following every call with an equal stake returned
Max drawdown
−0.9%
Worst peak-to-trough of following every call, as a share of the stake
Streak
1
Right calls in a row, newest first; neutral results are skipped
Coverage
186d
8 May 2026 – 10 Nov 2026
Best call
+23.1%“Your thesis on buying a particular asset has already crossed the minds of those who are currently down 70–90%, or perhaps even 99%. Of course, I think the best times to buy, or rather to ‘invest’, if you can even call it that in crypto… it’s more like speculation. Overall, I think the best time is August through November. I’m not expecting a repeat of 10.10, but I think the price of most assets will drop by at least 30–50%. (I want to buy Solana at $56 when I see it.) However, understand that even if you see prices as potentially attractive right now, or if a project has broken through some imaginary resistance level… that doesn’t mean it won’t drop. Yes, prices may rise in the next 1–2 weeks, and it will seem like they’ve risen sharply. But just remember that for most projects, even the highest-quality ones, to reach their peaks, they need to achieve 10x, 20x, or 50x growth. and there are always idiots who bought at the top. Think about who might be working against the growth: those poor people who simply bought before you, most likely with the exact same arguments you have in your head. Remember that these charts I’m referencing are the very embodiment of crypto. I’m not leaving the party, and I’m not even thinking about it. I love the volatility; I need it. But I don’t view the last two years of crypto as an investment in something useful. In my view, utility currently makes sense in projects that indirectly (without a direct goal) help developers take money from retail investors. For example, Hyperliquid, but simply because it’s an exchange and the best one right now, and it’s also VERY necessary for Trump along with TradeXYZ; both tools were literally essential for him. Think about it.”
Every token @swarmister has called, most recent first. The badge is their latest call on it. 3 tokens, all time.
Last called 6 Nov 2026 · 66 calls since 9 May 2026
26 bullish · 40 bearish
Last called 3 Nov 2026 · 23 calls since 9 May 2026
11 bullish · 12 bearish
Last called 22 Oct 2026 · 9 calls since 9 May 2026
2 bullish · 7 bearish
By month resolved · 7 days horizon
214 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
| Posted (UTC) | Call | Asset | Direction | Price at post | Horizon | Price at horizon | Return | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May 2026, 10:57 | “$BTC update 4H / 1D tf Yeah, we crashed after my post We’ve seen another massive high-volume candle that absorbed all buying pressure (which wasn’t particularly strong). Again, looking at volume, we saw an absorption of the 76.4–77.3 cluster, which also eases pressure on the buy side. Overall, the previous 2.58% move has signaled the direction of future price action There is a small chance that the market will reverse here toward the area of interest around 79.5k, I’m not sure, and my entry point for a short position is significantly higher Also, looking at the 1D timeframe, we can see that the green candles here look logical and reasonable; however, I’m not planning to open any long positions, except for $hype and $ton, where I have an excellent entry point, I think they’ll accelerate in the coming days. Should we wait for the New York session or skip ahead to tomorrow? I’ll post a new update if the situation changes. Have a great day 🫰🏼” |
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Worst call
-13.9%“$BTC what a pump? Closed my swing long and turned my profit into a short. I’ll treat this squeeze as an opportunity to close out my shorts; BTC has finally entered the short zones of interest Also, the daily FVG is COMPLETELY filled. I’ll have a very large short position, and I’ve already opened 1/4 of it.”
All time · 7d
| BTC |
| ▼ Bearish |
| — |
| 7d |
| — |
| — |
| unscored |
| 19 May 2026, 08:02 | “@Trade17 79.5 probably” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $76,982 | 7d | $76,638 | -0.4% | correct |
| 18 May 2026, 05:59 | “$BTC 4H, Local Update Active accumulation of long positions continues, but the key point is not the liquidation at all. The main volume did not occur during the drop, but in the middle of the move, on that very shorting candle (marked with an arrow). This volume exceeds all significant values for at least the last month, which clearly indicates that a major seller has entered the market around the 80k level. The market may test this volume; on the 1H chart, prices are oversold, and the first signals of a local pullback are appearing. However, the short position remains the priority. It is the 79,500–80,300 zone that provides the context for a downward move if a retest occurs. Buyers remain passive. The local downtrend is confirmed. The key daily buyer zone remains in the 72–73k range; I previously noted it as the boundary of the daily trend. The likelihood of testing this area this week remains. I’ll update the overview later with new details on the current market picture. I’m staying in my positions: my mega-short on $BTC and mega-long on $HYPE are active. I’m continuing to closely monitor $OIL. Have a nice day 🫰🏼” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $76,878 | 7d | $77,316 | +0.6% | incorrect |
| 17 May 2026, 22:19 | “A long position in $hype is a hedge against the missed opportunity to short btc from its peak” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | — | 7d | — | — | unscored |
| 17 May 2026, 18:53 | “@based16z That’s in line with my view… I don’t think we’ll see a sharp drop. At the very least, we’ll hit 45.7 and see a minor correction down to 43.5–43.9… I’ve also opened a short position in btc Kek https://t.co/mS1YzUZCBE” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $78,229 | 7d | $76,565 | -2.1% | correct |
| 17 May 2026, 18:42 | “@based16z SNED IT” | SOL | ▲ Bullish | — | 7d | — | — | unscored |
| 17 May 2026, 06:01 | “$BTC locally (1h) We've reached the POC at 78k, and I'm seeing this on lower timeframes, so an upward move is possible https://t.co/BmM2oN0Vvz” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | $78,078 | 7d | $76,881 | -1.5% | incorrect |
| 15 May 2026, 06:08 | “$BTC Thoughts and Setup for Today Entry 70,910 SL 79,200 TP 82,040 https://t.co/HRCUQsyyOH” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 7d | — | — | unscored |
| 12 May 2026, 21:18 | “So, here’s an important clarification/conclusion: I think you remember that I remain bearish and believe that Bitcoin will remain extremely expensive relative to altcoins, and will simply become even more expensive in the near future. And the altcoins in the bags of idiots who still hold them today will be worth even less in dollar terms. All these projects I listed need to see 100% growth 10, 20, or 30X over to reach the peaks they had earlier. If you look at my post in the chat where I discussed this topic, you’ll understand my overall point: All these coins on the HTF (weekly chart) exist solely for short positions, and nothing else. And if I want to go long, it means the coin might be interesting in the short term. I think these plans will come to fruition by fall, and most likely in the fall I’ll be exchanging my stablecoins for various crypto coins. Keep in mind that I can quickly change my mind, so having notifications turned on is the only way to ensure you’ll be able to fully follow my trades.” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | — | 7d | — | — | unscored |
| 12 May 2026, 12:36 | “$BTC 1H + 15M timeframes After the weekend, the price is in a consolidation phase = uncertainty. Plus, there are no volume anomalies (clusters) on lower timeframes, which means the rally is most likely occurring without real buying pressure. However, there is also a broader consolidation zone. Traders usually don’t trade during consolidations; they wait for a breakout.! Unless you look at lower timeframes, or if volume anomalies suddenly appear, then scalping might be an option. However, it is holding above 80k, i.e., above the previous support level(, which generally suggests that there will be a retest(81-83), or perhaps a move slightly higher. As I mentioned earlier regarding 85k, please review my comprehensive HTF analysis.” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 7d | — | — | unscored |
| 9 May 2026, 21:24 | “@0xCryptoCapy @TheLongInvest 1 btc = 1 million” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 7d | — | — | unscored |
| 9 May 2026, 15:15 | “Overall Conclusion and Recommendation Bitcoin will remain an extremely expensive asset relative to altcoins, and this gap is only set to widen in the future. It will simply become even more expensive compared to the rest of the market. Altcoins in the portfolios of people who are still holding them in dollar terms will continue to lose value. This is exactly how the scenario looks. And when you hear talk of a “financial revolution” and paying with MetaMask at the store, a simple question arises: have you ever actually used centralized exchanges, where for every transaction they demand you explain the origin of your funds and suffocate you with reporting requirements? What digital freedom is there here? It’s an illusion. Crypto has potential, but it will only be realized once the old market and its participants have finally left the system. If you look at new products like MEGAETH or Abstract’s counterparts, the logic is the same everywhere. The user there isn’t a customer, but a source of commissions. They come, play around with the product, leave their money, and leave. No project today is built around the idea of long-term value for the user. Overall, the crypto market currently looks like an industry focused on monetizing traffic, not technology. Therefore, looking for a “revolution” here is pointless. The most likely scenario I see for BTC is a move toward retesting the highs (with a low probability of reaching 85k), followed by a probable downward reversal and a retest of lower levels, down to zones below 50k. The entire market will follow suit.” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | — | 7d | — | — | unscored |
| 9 May 2026, 14:50 | “$BTC / Market It’s all over, and you can see that from all the indicators I mentioned in the quote. I’ll say it again: we need fresh blood, and the old blood needs to be thrown overboard. And how do we do that? Only by completely flushing out all that old blood that’s still sitting in the market. Take a look at your favorite influencers. Yeah, some of them have started posting about the market less often, making fewer videos, but go check out Hyperliquid. Look at the trading volumes. They’re at all-time highs. And you ask yourself: “The market is in the toilet, so who are these people who keep pumping up the volume on Hyperliquid?” It’s a strange picture, you have to admit. And to me, it looks like the market is only going to keep dying in the near future. Yes, I said earlier that we might bounce back somewhere in the 80–83 range (maybe even 85). Take another look. But this is most likely the stop point. And from here, I would expect further downward movement. I didn’t mention global liquidity on the clusters and so on, although that also supports my point, BUT I won’t post that, otherwise the posts would be twice as long.” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | — | 7d | — | — | unscored |
| 9 May 2026, 14:41 | “DXY/USDT.DBTCUSD + $USDT.C.D + DXY/USDT.DETHUSD + $BTC.D. (This is for analyzing $BTC and altcoins) Most often, the bottom formed when we dipped below this imaginary orange line and traded there for a while. Now we’ve simply broken through it and bounced back, without a full-fledged drop below it. The same pattern is visible in another zone. Historically, the bottom appeared when we fell below the level and consolidated there. Now we’ve reached it, bounced off, but didn’t actually go down. In other words, essentially, the bottom hasn’t formed yet. Regarding USDT dominance, I had noted a scenario where we were supposed to rise into the green zone, then drop into the red zone and trade there. Yes, due to Bitcoin’s rise, USDT dominance has declined slightly, but ultimately I expect a drop into the red zone, which corresponds to Bitcoin around the 85k mark. And from there, a full-scale decline in USDT dominance will begin, down to around 9.5%. The picture is similar for the DXY divided by USDT dominance. That is exactly where, in my opinion, the final bottom will form. According to one indicator, it should be here; according to another, roughly in the same range. Everything aligns: the dominance teaser, DXY/Bitcoin, etc. If you look at BTC dominance, which I charted back around 2025, I had a pattern labeled “asset grab from the downers.” The logic is simple. When the market crashes, Bitcoin will fall less than the rest of the shitty altcoins. Its dominance will grow because the market is buying up Bitcoin, while the altcoins will continue to plummet. And now, it seems to me, this very stage is beginning. Bitcoin could rise to 85k, but after that, the market will most likely crash again. And at that point, the altcoins will plummet even further, while Bitcoin will fall less. As a result, Bitcoin will become even more expensive relative to altcoins than it is now. And the altcoins stuffed in those idiots’ wallets will continue to lose value in dollar terms.” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | — | 7d | — | — | unscored |
| 9 May 2026, 14:41 | “DXY/USDT.DBTCUSD + $USDT.C.D + DXY/USDT.DETHUSD + $BTC.D. (This is for analyzing $BTC and altcoins) Most often, the bottom formed when we dipped below this imaginary orange line and traded there for a while. Now we’ve simply broken through it and bounced back, without a full-fledged drop below it. The same pattern is visible in another zone. Historically, the bottom appeared when we fell below the level and consolidated there. Now we’ve reached it, bounced off, but didn’t actually go down. In other words, essentially, the bottom hasn’t formed yet. Regarding USDT dominance, I had noted a scenario where we were supposed to rise into the green zone, then drop into the red zone and trade there. Yes, due to Bitcoin’s rise, USDT dominance has declined slightly, but ultimately I expect a drop into the red zone, which corresponds to Bitcoin around the 85k mark. And from there, a full-scale decline in USDT dominance will begin, down to around 9.5%. The picture is similar for the DXY divided by USDT dominance. That is exactly where, in my opinion, the final bottom will form. According to one indicator, it should be here; according to another, roughly in the same range. Everything aligns: the dominance teaser, DXY/Bitcoin, etc. If you look at BTC dominance, which I charted back around 2025, I had a pattern labeled “asset grab from the downers.” The logic is simple. When the market crashes, Bitcoin will fall less than the rest of the shitty altcoins. Its dominance will grow because the market is buying up Bitcoin, while the altcoins will continue to plummet. And now, it seems to me, this very stage is beginning. Bitcoin could rise to 85k, but after that, the market will most likely crash again. And at that point, the altcoins will plummet even further, while Bitcoin will fall less. As a result, Bitcoin will become even more expensive relative to altcoins than it is now. And the altcoins stuffed in those idiots’ wallets will continue to lose value in dollar terms.” | ETH | ▼ Bearish | — | 7d | — | — | unscored |
