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@scottmelker · The Wolf Of All Streets | The Daily Wolf On @YahooFinance | Media Host | Author | Markets | Hot Takes | Bitcoin | Married up to @emimelker ALL CAPS = news team
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
86
Top 14% · #3 of 22 ranked
Scored calls
37
1 pending · 1 unresolved
Hit rate
54.5%
12 correct / 10 incorrect · 15 neutral
Avg 24h return / call
+0.21%
Avg return per call (24 hour horizon)
Following every call
+7.6%
Equal stake on all 37 calls resolved so far
Mean alpha
+0.28%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (71) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 5% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 56.2% | 70 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −8.6% | 100 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +0.28% | 61 | 25% |
By month resolved · 24 hours horizon
10 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“People want Fed cuts for a pump in risk assets, but the Fed only cuts when something breaks "But what we really have right now is the strange contradiction with markets, right? People want to see the Fed cut, because a Fed cut means that risk assets will go up, because it means there's more liquidity." "But the Fed only cuts when something's broken, right? So you're effectively cheering for something to break in the economy so that the Fed can cut so that your asset can go up. And it's like living in the Upside Down in Stranger Things. None of it makes much sense." "Once again, yes, Bitcoin went down today because of things that were happening in the macro, sort of. But it has risen if you zoom out, and it is on an epic rally, its best third quarter in many years, and probably entering into a new bull market." "So we're gonna see what the Fed does. We'll see what oil does. But I can tell you that no matter what the Fed does and oil does, the bond market is not believing any of them."”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 63.0% |
58 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.13 | 73 | 25% |
All time · 24h
“For the record, today’s move on Bitcoin was awesome, but for now it’s a short squeeze into resistance. To celebrate, we need follow through.”
“"This is actually a bear market business. You're one of the few people that's probably exceptionally well positioned while Bitcoin is trading here, near a bottom" "This would be much worse if you did it and Bitcoin was at 126 and dropped to 50" "But anyone you convince to participate in this now, if you believe that Bitcoin will rise out of this as it always has in the past, you're gonna get a massive benefit from doing it now and watching that Bitcoin go up instead of go down"”
“Why Ethereum is catching a real tailwind right now "Ethereum looks like it's poised to outperform here, at least all the way up to this area, and probably higher. There's a lot of tailwinds after Vitalik came out with his capitulatory messaging on the ETH foundation and we're just another node. Obviously you've got BitMine out there and Tom Lee and all these guys" "Let's be honest, you can be bearish on ETH all you want, but Robinhood chain is a layer two on ETH, and I think people are probably discounting how important Robinhood chain is. They have tens of millions of users who now can just click a button, not really know they're doing crypto stuff, and do crypto stuff" "Memecoins are exploding there again, predicted. I think it's going to probably become one of the major competitors"”
“@cryptomanran Rosen is ambulance chasing in this case. Using us as PR to find clients for a class action. The US is highly litigious. Anyone can sue anyone for anything. The strategy risk is duration. Bitcoin goes down and stays down.”
“@ZeroHedge_ Of course there are ways. One is for Bitcoin to simply… go up.”
“"Peter Schiff told me this weekend will be the bloodiest weekend in Bitcoin history" "People declare there will be a Black Monday all the time. Their success rate is as good as Elizabeth Warren's success rate of passing bills. Zero" "Peak fear and insanity in the market is probably the best buy signal, at least temporarily, that you have"”
“"The most bullish scenario is that we get a price flush down to $55K, $56K, and then we skyrocket" "I'm not calling for the bottom, but I do think that we are bottoming" https://t.co/tHxKk7WTJC https://t.co/gviz9eUWGd”
“Bitcoin keeps getting stronger. Ethereum keeps falling behind. https://t.co/dBBgCUO5cU https://t.co/TLOfOX0Tfm”
“@RyanSAdams @materkel @mikemcg0 There’s an ocean of space between absorbing the market cap of Bitcoin and gold and complete failure. My bet is it does well somewhere in between.”