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Published 26 Jun 2026, 10:12 UTC · fetched 15 Oct 2026, 05:05 UTC
The Wolf Of All Streets
@scottmelker
In reply to · 26 Jun 2026, 08:12 UTC · context given to the AI
🚨EVERYONE IS MISSING THE REAL MICROSTRATEGY RISK! I see a lot of flawed opinions about the MSTR risks. People talking about how Saylor may be forced to sell Bitcoin to pay the dividend. This is a risk. But if it did happen it would be controlled selling and they could even postpone the dividends. THE REAL RISK IS FORCED SELLING AND THAT'S WHAT I'VE BEEN WARNING ABOUT! One single entity now owns 4% of the Bitcoin supply on paper. In reality they own about 6% of the real supply if you take into account Satoshi/Lost coins. If at any point that single point of failure gets taken down by regulators for any reason - THEY COLD BE FORCED TO SELL LARGE AMOUNTS QUICKLY. Yesterday we saw one such lawsuit where Strategy may be challenged for misrepresentation got a lawsuit. Whereas I don't believe this one will stick, it does highlight the REAL risk. One lawsuit, one successful regulator challenge and you may have a FORCED seller that holds 6% of the supply. Ive taken this up with Saylor and he just brushed it off! This is the biggest risk to Bitcoin in the short term IMO!@cryptomanran Rosen is ambulance chasing in this case. Using us as PR to find clients for a class action. The US is highly litigious. Anyone can sue anyone for anything. The strategy risk is duration. Bitcoin goes down and stays down.View original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
r = 60317.99 / 59226.29 − 1 = +1.84%d × r = -1.84% against a neutral band of ±1.00% → incorrectOnly the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
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