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@ThePenguinXBT · Unclaimed · Rank #57 (Top 79%) · 90 days · Stated horizon How it’s ranked
👤 The 21-year-old trader behind The Penguin. 🌊 Elliott Wave without hindsight. 🎟️ If I’m wrong, you’ll see that too. 💎 https://t.co/SfTcag3Wrk - 10x
Coverage 8 May 2026 – 10 Nov 2026
Calls
23
4 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
47.8%
11 correct / 12 incorrect · 0 neutral
ROI
-2.1%
Average return per call: what following every call with an equal stake returned
Max drawdown
−5.4%
Worst peak-to-trough of following every call, as a share of the stake
Streak
0
Right calls in a row, newest first; neutral results are skipped
Coverage
186d
8 May 2026 – 10 Nov 2026
Best call
+20.6%“$BTC bullish count looking much more likely here 🧪 With an internal wave 1 now appearing complete, this is becoming my preferred count. https://t.co/vQlzl26oGi https://t.co/KKfD1w81vO”
Worst call
-31.4%“$ETH Trade Update 🧪 Liking the PA here, so I’m adding back into the short and moving my stop above the local highs. Added: 60 ETH Total position: 80 ETH TP: $1,819 SL: $1,941 https://t.co/SvuKXUIzdW https://t.co/Yrm28XDIPI”
Every token @ThePenguinXBT has called, most recent first. The badge is their latest call on it. 3 tokens, all time.
Last called 4 Nov 2026 · 7 calls since 29 May 2026
4 bullish · 3 bearish
Last called 2 Nov 2026 · 34 calls since 11 May 2026
23 bullish · 11 bearish
Last called 25 Aug 2026 · 2 calls since 22 Aug 2026
2 bullish · 0 bearish
By month resolved · Stated horizon
46 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
| Posted (UTC) | Call | Asset | Direction | Price at post | Horizon | Price at horizon | Return | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug 2026, 02:32 | “$BTC short stopped out . One attempt at fading a strong uptrend was enough for me 🤝 - Still expecting a local pullback soon I’ll only look for another short after a higher-timeframe break in structure. https://t.co/rqN5cioVZj https://t.co/M88MX4MvUL” |
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90 days · stated
| BTC |
| ▼ Bearish |
| — |
| 30d |
| — |
| — |
| unscored |
| 20 Aug 2026, 18:10 | “BTC Short Trade 7 🧪 Entry: $72,554 Stop Loss: $72,941 TP1: $71,072 TP2: $67,792 Position Size: 9 BTC Risk/Reward: 1:14 Bit more risky however confident https://t.co/MS8qJ21KS8” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $72,411 | 30d | $81,412 | +12.4% | incorrect |
| 19 Aug 2026, 08:42 | “$BTC LONG - Trade 5 🧪 Taking this one in line with the bullish count. Stop: $64,119 Target: $65,024 Size: 9.3 BTC R:R: 2.5 https://t.co/gzhdgp0mBg https://t.co/fu3KwlVg9x” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 30d | — | — | unscored |
| 19 Aug 2026, 05:23 | “$BTC bullish count looking much more likely here 🧪 With an internal wave 1 now appearing complete, this is becoming my preferred count. https://t.co/vQlzl26oGi https://t.co/KKfD1w81vO” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | $64,186 | 30d | $77,427 | +20.6% | correct |
| 18 Aug 2026, 00:41 | “$BTC Trade 4 stopped out 🧪 The challenge remains nicely in profit overall. Next area I’ll consider another short is around $64.8K -but only if we get a clean reaction there. https://t.co/S0SXExU7Nh https://t.co/2YaP4FQ2rl” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | — | 30d | — | — | unscored |
| 17 Aug 2026, 15:34 | “$BTC SHORT - Trade 4 🧪 Stop: $64,418 Target: $62,216 Size: 6.9 BTC R:R: 4.3 https://t.co/qfOs95QGnS” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $64,141 | 30d | $75,731 | +18.1% | incorrect |
| 14 Aug 2026, 15:38 | “$BTC LONG - Trade 3 🧪 Stop: $62,471 Target: $63,640 Size: 8.8 BTC R:R: 2.2 https://t.co/A7A8oV819g https://t.co/fu3KwlVg9x” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 30d | — | — | unscored |
| 13 Aug 2026, 10:37 | “$BTC bearish intermediate alternate 🧪 Currently my preferred scenario. The Upside targets remain the same - only the lower-timeframe path and timing differ. https://t.co/dC8nLVg7CS https://t.co/mtXCgmpJul” | ETH | ▼ Bearish | — | 30d | — | — | unscored |
| 13 Aug 2026, 10:37 | “$BTC bearish intermediate alternate 🧪 Currently my preferred scenario. The Upside targets remain the same - only the lower-timeframe path and timing differ. https://t.co/dC8nLVg7CS https://t.co/mtXCgmpJul” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | — | 30d | — | — | unscored |
| 13 Aug 2026, 10:13 | “$BTC Short / Trade 2 🧪 Bit more risky this one with the tighter, lower-timeframe stop. Stop: $63,957 Target: $62,209 Size: 6.5 BTC Also moving the $ETH stop to entry. Currently around +$2,500 unrealized https://t.co/dnKk3lhvpi” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | — | 30d | — | — | unscored |
| 12 Aug 2026, 17:22 | “$BTC Bearish alternative here on the medium timeframes that ties into my $ETH count and trade. The higher targets remain the same; - however, this scenario involves coming down to $60K first. Drop a like to see it ❤️ https://t.co/i0Nh4bY6QJ” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $63,399 | 30d | $77,505 | +22.3% | incorrect |
| 12 Aug 2026, 12:08 | “$ETH Trade Update 🧪 Liking the PA here, so I’m adding back into the short and moving my stop above the local highs. Added: 60 ETH Total position: 80 ETH TP: $1,819 SL: $1,941 https://t.co/SvuKXUIzdW https://t.co/Yrm28XDIPI” | ETH | ▼ Bearish | $1,910 | 30d | $2,510 | +31.4% | incorrect |
| 10 Aug 2026, 10:24 | “First trade of the $50K - $100K Challenge 🧪 $ETH SHORT Entry: $1,917 Stop: $1,979.50 Target: $1,799.85 Size: 40 ETH R:R: 1.8 https://t.co/qccgbsOn6Z https://t.co/fu3KwlVg9x” | ETH | ▼ Bearish | $1,916 | 30d | $2,487 | +29.8% | incorrect |
| 3 Aug 2026, 08:17 | “$BTC Macro Outlook 🧪 My highest-probability count still points lower. - The October 2025 top looks like an ending diagonal. The decline since fits a complex WXY correction better than a clean five-wave impulse. That keeps $42K on the table currently. There is a valid alternate that takes BTC back above $100K first- but it isn’t my base case. The interesting part? Many alts are already sitting near macro lows. Two valid paths. My overall bias remains lower for Btc and up for alts.” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $62,458 | 30d | $76,804 | +23.0% | incorrect |
| 23 Jul 2026, 15:48 | “$BTC 🧪 Counts a bit unclear working from our July lows upwards at this point in time. Definitely do think that we are working correctively up not impulsively. Nonetheless the direction should be up and I remain bullish unless the trend changes to bearish. Potentially a complex upwards but I have no concrete count on Bitcoin right now and will likely just end up backworking the whole thing afterwards. Alts are in a much better spot at this point in time.” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | $64,907 | 30d | $76,971 | +18.6% | correct |
