Loading profile…
@ThePenguinXBT · Unclaimed · Rank #79 (Top 91%) · All time · Stated horizon How it’s ranked
👤 The 21-year-old trader behind The Penguin. 🌊 Elliott Wave without hindsight. 🎟️ If I’m wrong, you’ll see that too. 💎 https://t.co/SfTcag3Wrk - 10x
Coverage 8 May 2026 – 10 Nov 2026
Calls
33
4 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
42.4%
14 correct / 19 incorrect · 0 neutral
ROI
-5.1%
Average return per call: what following every call with an equal stake returned
Max drawdown
−6.9%
Worst peak-to-trough of following every call, as a share of the stake
Streak
0
Right calls in a row, newest first; neutral results are skipped
Coverage
186d
8 May 2026 – 10 Nov 2026
Best call
+20.6%“$BTC bullish count looking much more likely here 🧪 With an internal wave 1 now appearing complete, this is becoming my preferred count. https://t.co/vQlzl26oGi https://t.co/KKfD1w81vO”
Worst call
-31.4%“$ETH Trade Update 🧪 Liking the PA here, so I’m adding back into the short and moving my stop above the local highs. Added: 60 ETH Total position: 80 ETH TP: $1,819 SL: $1,941 https://t.co/SvuKXUIzdW https://t.co/Yrm28XDIPI”
Every token @ThePenguinXBT has called, most recent first. The badge is their latest call on it. 3 tokens, all time.
Last called 4 Nov 2026 · 7 calls since 29 May 2026
4 bullish · 3 bearish
Last called 2 Nov 2026 · 34 calls since 11 May 2026
23 bullish · 11 bearish
Last called 25 Aug 2026 · 2 calls since 22 Aug 2026
2 bullish · 0 bearish
By month resolved · Stated horizon
68 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
| Posted (UTC) | Call | Asset | Direction | Price at post | Horizon | Price at horizon | Return | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Nov 2026, 07:32 | “$BTC We had a nice initial move higher, but price then came back and took out the low pretty aggressively. Not what I wanted to see, to be honest. The larger macro picture is still in play, with invalidation at the July lows, but the local low I was watching hasn’t held. For now, I’m waiting for price to come lower again before looking for the next move higher. Eyes on $70K first, then $64K if we get a deeper move.” |
Think your calls are better?
Get ranked on the same rules, or challenge @ThePenguinXBT head to head.
All time · stated
| BTC |
| ▲ Bullish |
| — |
| 30d |
| — |
| — |
| unscored |
| 4 Nov 2026, 14:49 | “Starting to move here on $ETH 🤝 https://t.co/13ea27OT46 https://t.co/FHu8uzg0ye” | ETH | ▲ Bullish | — | 30d | — | — | pending |
| 2 Nov 2026, 15:21 | “Took this here for the $50K to $100K challenge 🧪 Long $ETH QTY: 88 - SL: 2171 - TP: 2805 Hoping to finish it on this one RR: 4.3 https://t.co/uFJ5ZcgdFT” | ETH | ▲ Bullish | — | 30d | — | — | pending |
| 2 Nov 2026, 10:17 | “Lower POI now tagged on $BTC 🧪 Looking for a larger move higher from here, with $90K as the minimum target. https://t.co/r0Djv2iTgh https://t.co/GRedL6PtZQ” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 30d | — | — | pending |
| 21 Oct 2026, 11:26 | “$BTC starting to move higher now, which is nice to see 🧪 I think we should see some acceleration over the next few days, potentially tomorrow or Friday. Still looking towards $89K for now - no change to the target. Alts are also looking pretty good here for another leg higher.” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | $83,381 | 7d | $81,215 | -2.6% | incorrect |
| 19 Oct 2026, 12:34 | “$BTC - following on from the last update 🧪 I think we’re likely at some kind of local low for now. My primary scenario is a solid rally towards, but just shy of, the psychological $90K level over the next week or two. We’ve had a clean three-wave move down, with messy highs still sitting above us. That’s why I’m leaning towards another move higher first. The structure into $90K will matter: • A corrective rally and rejection would keep a larger flat correction in play - potentially back towards $77K before a bigger move towards ATH. • A firm break above the $90K region would make me considerably more bullish. Locally bullish for now.” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | $82,505 | 7d | $80,203 | -2.8% | incorrect |
| 15 Oct 2026, 14:11 | “Potential low here on $BTC 🧪 Alts have tapped my areas of interest, so a shallower pullback on BTC could make sense imo. Whether the larger correction is complete or this is just the first part is still unconfirmed, but I’m leaning very bullish here. If we don’t find a bottom here, I’m looking lower toward $76k.” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 30d | — | — | pending |
| 13 Oct 2026, 11:10 | “Been a while since a proper $BTC update 🧪 LTF, I think we’re working through a complex WXYXZ. That fits my altcoin counts across the board, although the structure could still change. Currently looking for a larger flush towards $76K - $78K, where I have the most confluence for the next leg higher. If that sets up, I’m expecting a sizeable move. Still waiting for alts to come a touch lower before picking up some higher-timeframe swing longs too. Higher timeframe bullish. Lower timeframe, still leaning bearish.” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | — | 30d | — | — | unscored |
| 5 Oct 2026, 17:29 | “$BTC - still think we could push higher here. Highs look pretty ugly imo. Would be nice to see a sweep above them, then a fast drop back down. Could view it like an AMD too https://t.co/Gv9C9ugc0w” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 30d | — | — | unscored |
| 27 Sept 2026, 13:10 | “$BTC two Scenarios counts I’m watching 🧪 1. GIGA bull Five waves up completed where I’ve labelled the 3. With the subsequent 1/2 in, we’re now starting wave 3 higher. Less likely imo, but also the least expected path right now, which gives it some credence for me. Invalidation: $74K. 2. Standard bullish count A completed five-wave move forms the larger-degree wave 1, followed by a correction towards roughly $70K. This is my preferred count currently. Broader bullish invalidation: the $57K lows.” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 30d | — | — | unscored |
| 16 Sept 2026, 14:55 | “$BTC update 🧪 We’re getting the extended correction we were looking for. Price never swept the news-wick high or printed a fresh high - something I’d usually expect from an ABC up or a classic 3-wave move. Therefore didn't catch a short. My swing-long area of interest remains unchanged. I’m sidelined until price reaches it. This also fits the broader altcoin structure, which currently looks more like WXYs than standard ABCs higher.” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 30d | — | — | unscored |
| 12 Sept 2026, 07:57 | “$BTC update 🧪 Yesterday’s move was interesting. I was sidelined throughout, so no win or loss for me. Price has now retraced most of the move back to VAL, giving us a pretty clean rotation. My read is that we could push higher from here toward the $80K–$81K region before seeing a larger rejection. Two paths remain: - The 76k low was a 2 - This is only an A-wave, with the correction still developing. For now, I’m treating BTC as a range: Longs at VAL. Shorts at VAH. That’s the plan until price proves otherwise.” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | $77,257 | 30d | $83,904 | +8.6% | correct |
| 10 Sept 2026, 07:45 | “$BTC update 🧪 Price printed a 3-wave move from the original AOI, which justified closing the long. It was a nice area for a bounce, but the latest PA suggests this correction may need more time. I can’t confidently count it as an impulse down or a flat yet. My primary view is a double zigzag lower, with $74.4K as the main area I’d look for longs. If price bounces first, a sweep around $76.8K could offer another long setup, with $84K as the target.” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 30d | — | — | unscored |
| 8 Sept 2026, 16:01 | “Trade 9 - bitcoin:native Long 🟩 Price front-ran the original AOI, but put in a good low with a nice reaction. SL: 77,599 TP: 82,276 QTY: 3.3 BTC R R: 3R https://t.co/mDrqxe31pf https://t.co/g70ucfVGbW” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 30d | — | — | unscored |
| 8 Sept 2026, 14:53 | “bitcoin:native still making higher highs and higher lows. Why assume it'll change now? https://t.co/4eFTz9QPfb” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | $78,539 | 30d | $82,639 | +5.2% | correct |
