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@ThePenguinXBT · Unclaimed · Rank #76 (Top 86%) · All time · 4 hours horizon How it’s ranked
👤 The 21-year-old trader behind The Penguin. 🌊 Elliott Wave without hindsight. 🎟️ If I’m wrong, you’ll see that too. 💎 https://t.co/SfTcag3Wrk - 10x
Coverage 8 May 2026 – 10 Nov 2026
Calls
37
0 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
43.2%
16 correct / 21 incorrect · 0 neutral
ROI
-0.2%
Average return per call: what following every call with an equal stake returned
Max drawdown
−0.4%
Worst peak-to-trough of following every call, as a share of the stake
Streak
1
Right calls in a row, newest first; neutral results are skipped
Coverage
186d
8 May 2026 – 10 Nov 2026
Best call
+4.4%“Trade 8 - bitcoin:native Long 🟢 Stop loss: $76,197 Take profit: $81,509 Quantity: 2.2 BTC Planned R:R: 2.3 https://t.co/wxlboKb05O https://t.co/d52kmUrjQH”
Worst call
-8.4%“Selling everything when $SOL hits $1,096. No further questions. 🤝 https://t.co/MbEBnGRM2U”
Every token @ThePenguinXBT has called, most recent first. The badge is their latest call on it. 3 tokens, all time.
Last called 4 Nov 2026 · 7 calls since 29 May 2026
4 bullish · 3 bearish
Last called 2 Nov 2026 · 34 calls since 11 May 2026
23 bullish · 11 bearish
Last called 25 Aug 2026 · 2 calls since 22 Aug 2026
2 bullish · 0 bearish
By month resolved · 4 hours horizon
21 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
| Posted (UTC) | Call | Asset | Direction | Price at post | Horizon | Price at horizon | Return | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov 2026, 15:21 | “Took this here for the $50K to $100K challenge 🧪 Long $ETH QTY: 88 - SL: 2171 - TP: 2805 Hoping to finish it on this one RR: 4.3 https://t.co/uFJ5ZcgdFT” |
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All time · 4h
| ETH |
| ▲ Bullish |
| $2,290 |
| 4h |
| $2,247 |
| -1.9% |
| incorrect |
| 2 Nov 2026, 10:17 | “Lower POI now tagged on $BTC 🧪 Looking for a larger move higher from here, with $90K as the minimum target. https://t.co/r0Djv2iTgh https://t.co/GRedL6PtZQ” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | $77,906 | 4h | $77,794 | -0.1% | incorrect |
| 19 Oct 2026, 12:34 | “$BTC - following on from the last update 🧪 I think we’re likely at some kind of local low for now. My primary scenario is a solid rally towards, but just shy of, the psychological $90K level over the next week or two. We’ve had a clean three-wave move down, with messy highs still sitting above us. That’s why I’m leaning towards another move higher first. The structure into $90K will matter: • A corrective rally and rejection would keep a larger flat correction in play - potentially back towards $77K before a bigger move towards ATH. • A firm break above the $90K region would make me considerably more bullish. Locally bullish for now.” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | $82,509 | 4h | $81,922 | -0.7% | incorrect |
| 8 Sept 2026, 14:53 | “bitcoin:native still making higher highs and higher lows. Why assume it'll change now? https://t.co/4eFTz9QPfb” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | $78,496 | 4h | $78,375 | -0.2% | incorrect |
| 2 Sept 2026, 07:08 | “GM 🧪 Took a fresh look at bitcoin:native after some nice overnight price action. We didn’t reach the demand zone, but the move down unfolded in a clean three-wave structure alongside a reclaim of VAL. That makes it possible the correction is already complete here. Strong markets often give shallower pullbacks, so the marked zone is my primary area for longs. If price pushes deeper, the $75K AOI remains option B.” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | $77,607 | 4h | $76,648 | -1.2% | incorrect |
| 31 Aug 2026, 14:54 | “Trade 7 - bitcoin:native Short 🔴 Stop loss: $78,791 Take profit: $76,993 Quantity: 10 BTC RR 5.8 https://t.co/bQrshKv4tR” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $78,425 | 4h | $78,993 | +0.7% | incorrect |
| 31 Aug 2026, 13:34 | “$ETH short Trade 6 🔴 We got Stopped out on the previous trade. Stop loss: $2,474 Take profit: $2,387 Quantity: 130 ETH R:R: 3.5 https://t.co/zpPWg31acW” | ETH | ▼ Bearish | $2,450 | 4h | $2,464 | +0.6% | incorrect |
| 30 Aug 2026, 16:59 | “bitcoin:native - Sunday night thoughts 🧪 I think the correction down is likely complete here. I’d have preferred slightly lower, but based on probabilities, continuation towards the $90K region now looks more likely. - That’s the major area price needs to get through. Going into the week, I’ll mainly be looking for trend-following scalps. If we’re entering wave 5, the path will likely be harder to predict. Thus Trend playing is better” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | $79,336 | 4h | $78,582 | -1.0% | incorrect |
| 25 Aug 2026, 15:39 | “solana:2zMMhcVQEXDtdE6vsFS7S7D5oUodfJHE8vd1gnBouauv 🧪 Bit of a tricky one here counting-wise because of the corrective nature. However, we have been tracking this count for a long time and we are now just fulfilling what we expected here. For now I think we are working in a flat upwards, basically just a standard range. So I think a 1-3 is now in, looking for that corrective 4 back down before potentially a monster wave 5 upwards to those EQ highs, which would be my main DOL before shorts. Looks like a range, probably is a range.” | SOL | ▲ Bullish | $98.19 | 4h | $97.75 | -0.4% | incorrect |
| 24 Aug 2026, 08:26 | “@StoicTraderXBT Short” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $76,905 | 4h | $78,431 | +2.0% | incorrect |
| 22 Aug 2026, 04:42 | “Selling everything when $SOL hits $1,096. No further questions. 🤝 https://t.co/MbEBnGRM2U” | SOL | ▲ Bullish | $102.16 | 4h | $93.61 | -8.4% | incorrect |
| 17 Aug 2026, 15:34 | “$BTC SHORT - Trade 4 🧪 Stop: $64,418 Target: $62,216 Size: 6.9 BTC R:R: 4.3 https://t.co/qfOs95QGnS” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $63,938 | 4h | $64,297 | +0.6% | incorrect |
| 12 Aug 2026, 17:22 | “$BTC Bearish alternative here on the medium timeframes that ties into my $ETH count and trade. The higher targets remain the same; - however, this scenario involves coming down to $60K first. Drop a like to see it ❤️ https://t.co/i0Nh4bY6QJ” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $63,367 | 4h | $63,467 | +0.2% | incorrect |
| 3 Aug 2026, 08:17 | “$BTC Macro Outlook 🧪 My highest-probability count still points lower. - The October 2025 top looks like an ending diagonal. The decline since fits a complex WXY correction better than a clean five-wave impulse. That keeps $42K on the table currently. There is a valid alternate that takes BTC back above $100K first- but it isn’t my base case. The interesting part? Many alts are already sitting near macro lows. Two valid paths. My overall bias remains lower for Btc and up for alts.” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $62,401 | 4h | $62,570 | +0.3% | incorrect |
| 23 Jul 2026, 15:48 | “$BTC 🧪 Counts a bit unclear working from our July lows upwards at this point in time. Definitely do think that we are working correctively up not impulsively. Nonetheless the direction should be up and I remain bullish unless the trend changes to bearish. Potentially a complex upwards but I have no concrete count on Bitcoin right now and will likely just end up backworking the whole thing afterwards. Alts are in a much better spot at this point in time.” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | $64,920 | 4h | $64,646 | -0.4% | incorrect |
